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Pro League

Referee: W Smet

St Truiden

T S T U T

1–0

Full-time

Kortrijk

T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Kortrijk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

0,7

Conceded

1,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 15/19 matches

Win Ø 18%

20%

16%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

40%

63%

Both score Ø 46%

60%

32%

Average goals

2,6

2,8

Scored

0,9

0,7

Conceded

1,7

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,62 xG 0,78

60% Possession 40%

15 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 3

3 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Truiden 12. · Kortrijk 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	15	13	1	1	+22	+17.8	40
2	Club Brugge	17	10	4	3	+27	+29.8	34
3	Cercle Brugge	15	11	1	3	+16	+13.5	34
4	Anderlecht	15	9	5	1	+14	+10.2	32
5	Antwerp	15	7	6	2	+21	+14.4	27
6	Genk	14	6	5	3	+16	+18.5	23
7	Gent	14	6	5	3	+6	+6.1	23
8	Mechelen	16	6	4	6	+0	-1.9	22
9	Westerlo	17	5	4	8	-5	-7.3	19
10	Standard	17	4	7	6	-7	-9.1	19
11	RWD Molenbeek	19	4	5	10	-22	-23.5	17
12	St Truiden	15	3	6	6	-11	-7.2	15
13	Charleroi	18	3	5	10	-15	-11.7	14
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	16	3	4	9	-10	-5.3	13
15	Kortrijk	19	3	4	12	-28	-19.8	13
16	Eupen	18	3	2	13	-24	-24.5	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cercle Brugge	8	7	1	0	+14	+10.2	22
2	St. Gilloise	7	7	0	0	+15	+10.8	21
3	Anderlecht	7	6	1	0	+10	+7.9	19
4	Antwerp	8	5	3	0	+19	+13.4	18
5	Club Brugge	8	5	3	0	+15	+15.4	18
6	Gent	7	4	3	0	+7	+4.9	15
7	Mechelen	8	4	3	1	+6	+2.8	15
8	Genk	7	3	3	1	+9	+11.8	12
9	Westerlo	8	4	0	4	+0	-2.4	12
10	Charleroi	9	3	3	3	-3	+0.3	12
11	RWD Molenbeek	9	3	3	3	-5	-7.1	12
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	8	3	2	3	+4	-1.9	11
13	Standard	9	3	2	4	-1	-2.4	11
14	St Truiden	8	2	3	3	-5	-2.0	9
15	Kortrijk	10	2	3	5	-8	-4.6	9
16	Eupen	9	2	1	6	-10	-10.1	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	8	6	1	1	+7	+7.0	19
2	Club Brugge	9	5	1	3	+12	+14.4	16
3	Anderlecht	8	3	4	1	+4	+2.3	13
4	Cercle Brugge	7	4	0	3	+2	+3.3	12
5	Genk	7	3	2	2	+7	+6.7	11
6	Antwerp	7	2	3	2	+2	+1.1	9
7	Gent	7	2	2	3	-1	+1.2	8
8	Standard	8	1	5	2	-6	-6.8	8
9	Westerlo	9	1	4	4	-5	-4.9	7
10	Mechelen	8	2	1	5	-6	-4.8	7
11	St Truiden	7	1	3	3	-6	-5.2	6
12	RWD Molenbeek	10	1	2	7	-17	-16.4	5
13	Eupen	9	1	1	7	-14	-14.4	4
14	Kortrijk	9	1	1	7	-20	-15.2	4
15	Charleroi	9	0	2	7	-12	-12.0	2
16	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	8	0	2	6	-14	-3.4	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.