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Ekstraklasa

Referee: T Musial

Rakow

S U U T U

0–1

Full-time

Gornik Zabrze

U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Gornik Zabrze

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 45%

43%

46%

Points per game

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 61%

64%

57%

Average goals

2,9

2,5

Scored

1,8

1,4

Conceded

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,61 xG 0,96

50% Possession 50%

15 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 0

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rakow 5. · Gornik Zabrze 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	28	15	7	6	+26	+13.1	52
2	Slask Wroclaw	28	14	8	6	+12	+6.0	50
3	Lech Poznan	28	13	9	6	+8	-4.3	48
4	Pogon Szczecin	28	14	5	9	+22	+12.9	47
5	Rakow	28	12	10	6	+19	+19.8	46
6	Legia	28	12	10	6	+10	+7.7	46
7	Gornik Zabrze	28	13	6	9	+6	-5.8	45
8	Widzew Lodz	28	11	6	11	+0	-3.6	39
9	Stal Mielec	28	10	8	10	-1	-10.2	38
10	Zaglebie	28	9	8	11	-11	+1.9	35
11	Radomiak Radom	29	9	8	12	-13	-3.4	35
12	Cracovia	28	6	14	8	-1	-1.4	32
13	Piast Gliwice	28	6	14	8	-4	+12.4	32
14	Warta Poznan	28	7	10	11	-7	-7.7	31
15	Korona Kielce	29	6	12	11	-4	+0.2	30
16	Puszcza	28	6	11	11	-12	-15.7	29
17	LKS Lodz	28	5	6	17	-32	-16.3	21
18	Ruch Chorzow	28	2	14	12	-18	-5.6	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	14	10	2	2	+24	+13.7	32
2	Rakow	14	9	5	0	+23	+12.7	32
3	Lech Poznan	14	9	3	2	+15	+1.5	30
4	Gornik Zabrze	14	8	3	3	+6	-3.7	27
5	Widzew Lodz	14	9	0	5	+3	+3.7	27
6	Legia	14	7	5	2	+11	+8.6	26
7	Stal Mielec	14	7	5	2	+9	+0.6	26
8	Slask Wroclaw	14	7	4	3	+8	+9.3	25
9	Pogon Szczecin	14	7	2	5	+10	+14.0	23
10	Korona Kielce	15	5	7	3	+6	+9.0	22
11	Puszcza	14	5	7	2	+1	-3.0	22
12	Piast Gliwice	14	5	6	3	+4	+10.7	21
13	Zaglebie	14	5	5	4	-1	+1.6	20
14	Radomiak Radom	14	4	5	5	-3	+2.1	17
15	LKS Lodz	14	4	5	5	-9	-10.4	17
16	Cracovia	14	3	7	4	+1	+0.4	16
17	Warta Poznan	14	3	5	6	-4	-2.8	14
18	Ruch Chorzow	14	2	7	5	-3	+2.9	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	14	7	4	3	+4	-3.3	25
2	Pogon Szczecin	14	7	3	4	+12	-1.1	24
3	Jagiellonia	14	5	5	4	+2	-0.6	20
4	Legia	14	5	5	4	-1	-0.9	20
5	Gornik Zabrze	14	5	3	6	+0	-2.1	18
6	Lech Poznan	14	4	6	4	-7	-5.8	18
7	Radomiak Radom	15	5	3	7	-10	-5.6	18
8	Warta Poznan	14	4	5	5	-3	-4.9	17
9	Cracovia	14	3	7	4	-2	-1.8	16
10	Zaglebie	14	4	3	7	-10	+0.4	15
11	Rakow	14	3	5	6	-4	+7.0	14
12	Widzew Lodz	14	2	6	6	-3	-7.4	12
13	Stal Mielec	14	3	3	8	-10	-10.8	12
14	Piast Gliwice	14	1	8	5	-8	+1.7	11
15	Korona Kielce	14	1	5	8	-10	-8.7	8
16	Puszcza	14	1	4	9	-13	-12.8	7
17	Ruch Chorzow	14	0	7	7	-15	-8.5	7
18	LKS Lodz	14	1	1	12	-23	-5.9	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.