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Bundesliga
Referee: M Hameter
Sturm Graz
U S T S S
1–0
Full-time
SK Rapid
U U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz SK Rapid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
1,8
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 49%
62%
35%
Points per game
2,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
42%
35%
Both score Ø 46%
46%
46%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
0,7
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
15 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sturm Graz 2. · SK Rapid 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 26 17 6 3 +36 57
2 Sturm Graz 26 16 7 3 +28 55
3 LASK 26 11 9 6 +10 42
4 SK Rapid 26 9 12 5 +20 39
5 Austria Vienna 26 10 9 7 +4 39
6 A. Klagenfurt 26 8 12 6 -3 36
7 Hartberg 26 9 8 9 -4 35
8 Wolfsberger AC 26 8 9 9 -4 33
9 Altach 26 5 10 11 -12 25
10 BW Linz 26 4 10 12 -17 22
11 Tirol 26 6 4 16 -20 22
12 A. Lustenau 26 2 6 18 -38 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

18. Feb -24 Sturm Graz – SK Rapid 1–1 24. Sep -23 SK Rapid – Sturm Graz 1–1 28. May -23 SK Rapid – Sturm Graz 3–2 2. Apr -23 Sturm Graz – SK Rapid 3–1 10. Feb -23 Sturm Graz – SK Rapid 1–0

Match report

Sturm Graz SK Rapid
Half-time 0–0
W. Bøving 🔁
↦ T. Horvat
62′
A. Camara 🔁
↦ S. Jatta
62′
M. Johnston 🔁
↦ J. Gazibegović
74′
74′
🔁 F. Mayulu
↦ C. Lang
74′
🔁 I. Jansson
↦ I. Seydi
77′
🟨 Roman Kerschbaum
1–0 M. Biereth ⚽
79′
D. Schnegg 🔁
↦ O. Kiteishvili
84′
88′
🔁 D. Kaygin
↦ R. Kerschbaum
93′
🟨 Marco Grüll
David Affengruber 🟨
96′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
16 V. Jaroš G
22 J. Gazibegović D
42 D. Affengruber D
5 G. Wüthrich D
24 D. Lavalée D
19 T. Horvat M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič M
8 A. Prass M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
18 M. Biereth F
20 S. Jatta F
Bench (7)
15 W. Bøving
36 A. Camara
2 M. Johnston
28 D. Schnegg
25 S. Hierländer
31 L. Marić
9 S. Włodarczyk

Coach: C. Ilzer

SK Rapid

4-2-3-1
45 N. Hedl G
28 M. Oswald D
20 M. Hofmann D
6 N. Kasanwirjo D
23 J. Auer D
8 L. Grgić M
5 R. Kerschbaum M
57 I. Seydi M
18 M. Seidl M
10 C. Lang M
27 M. Grüll F
Bench (7)
17 F. Mayulu
22 I. Jansson
24 D. Kaygin
53 D. Vincze
25 P. Gartler
19 M. Sollbauer
49 J. Živković

Coach: R. Klauß

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Hameter · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.