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Ekstraklasa
Gornik Zabrze
U S T S T
1–1
Full-time
Rakow
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gornik Zabrze Rakow
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
This season — Ekstraklasa · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 50%
43%
57%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
62%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
67%
48%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,9
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Gornik Zabrze 7. · Rakow 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Pogon Szczecin 22 13 7 2 +23 46
2 Lech Poznan 21 13 6 2 +29 45
3 Rakow 21 12 5 4 +17 41
4 Lechia Gdansk 21 10 6 5 +10 36
5 Radomiak Radom 22 9 9 4 +9 36
6 Cracovia 22 8 7 7 +1 31
7 Gornik Zabrze 21 9 4 8 +1 31
8 Stal Mielec 22 8 7 7 -1 31
9 Wisla Plock 22 9 3 10 -1 30
10 Piast Gliwice 22 8 5 9 +2 29
11 Jagiellonia 22 7 7 8 -7 28
12 Slask Wroclaw 22 6 7 9 -4 25
13 Warta Poznan 22 5 8 9 -7 23
14 Zaglebie 22 7 2 13 -17 23
15 Wisla 21 6 3 12 -12 21
16 Leczna 21 4 8 9 -17 20
17 Legia 21 6 1 14 -10 19
18 Nieciecza 21 3 7 11 -16 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.