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Ekstraklasa

Referee: W Myć

Stal Mielec

T S U U T

1–1

Full-time

Widzew Lodz

T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stal Mielec Widzew Lodz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,8

3,2

Scored

1,5

Conceded

2,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,65 xG 0,62

48% Possession 52%

9 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 1

0 Offside 6

13 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.0	3
2	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.9	3
3	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.6	3
4	Legia	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.9	3
5	Rakow	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
6	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
7	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
8	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
9	Cracovia	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
10	Piast Gliwice	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
11	GKS Katowice	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
12	Puszcza	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
13	Gornik Zabrze	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.6	0
14	Zaglebie	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.9	0
15	Motor Lublin	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0
16	Korona Kielce	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.0	3
2	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.9	3
3	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.6	3
4	Legia	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.9	3
5	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
6	Cracovia	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
7	GKS Katowice	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
8	Motor Lublin	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
2	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
3	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
4	Piast Gliwice	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
5	Puszcza	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
6	Gornik Zabrze	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.6	0
7	Zaglebie	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.9	0
8	Korona Kielce	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.