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Ekstraklasa
Referee: P Gryckiewicz
Widzew Lodz
S U S T T
1–3
Full-time
Zaglebie
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Widzew Lodz Zaglebie
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 37%
39%
35%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
52%
45%
Both score Ø 57%
61%
52%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,20 xG 0,65
61% Possession 39%
16 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
0 Offside 4
4 Free kicks against 3
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Widzew Lodz 9. · Zaglebie 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Jagiellonia 32 17 8 7 +29 +15.4 59
2 Slask Wroclaw 32 16 9 7 +16 +7.0 57
3 Rakow 32 14 10 8 +18 +22.5 52
4 Lech Poznan 31 14 10 7 +8 -5.7 52
5 Gornik Zabrze 32 15 7 10 +5 -7.1 52
6 Pogon Szczecin 32 15 6 11 +20 +12.9 51
7 Legia 31 13 11 7 +9 +9.3 50
8 Piast Gliwice 32 9 15 8 +4 +16.2 42
9 Widzew Lodz 31 12 6 13 -1 -3.3 42
10 Stal Mielec 32 11 9 12 -5 -14.3 42
11 Zaglebie 31 11 8 12 -9 +2.6 41
12 Radomiak Radom 31 10 8 13 -11 -4.3 38
13 Warta Poznan 32 9 10 13 -6 -10.9 37
14 Cracovia 32 7 15 10 -1 -1.3 36
15 Puszcza 32 8 12 12 -11 -14.2 36
16 Korona Kielce 32 6 14 12 -7 -1.2 32
17 Ruch Chorzow 31 4 14 13 -17 -6.0 26
18 LKS Lodz 32 5 6 21 -41 -17.6 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Widzew Lodz Zaglebie
11′
🟨 Tomasz Makowski
27′
M. Wdowiak 0–1
29′
K. Chodyna 0–2
M. Mróz
Half-time 0–2
A. Cigaņiks 🔁
↦ Juan Ibiza
46′
I. Rondić 🔁
↦ Jordi Sánchez
46′
1–2 A. Cigaņiks
Fran Álvarez
49′
52′
🟨 Mateusz Grzybek
Fábio Nunes 🔁
↦ A. Klimek
62′
63′
🔁 Luís Mata
↦ M. Grzybek
68′
🔁 M. Poletanović
↦ M. Wdowiak
68′
🔁 T. Pieńko
↦ M. Mróz
D. Tkacz 🔁
↦ N. Diliberto
84′
85′
🔁 Juan Muñoz
↦ K. Chodyna
85′
🔁 P. Kusztal
↦ D. Kurminowski
91′
M. Poletanović 1–3
B. Kłudka
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Widzew Lodz

4-3-3
1 R. Gikiewicz G
7 M. Miloš D
4 M. Żyro D
15 Juan Ibiza D
2 Luís Silva D
10 Fran Álvarez M
22 D. Kun M
44 N. Diliberto M
78 K. Cybulski F
9 Jordi Sánchez F
47 A. Klimek F
Bench (9)
14 A. Cigaņiks
99 I. Rondić
92 Fábio Nunes
8 D. Tkacz
35 I. Krajčírik
62 L. Kastrati
23 P. Zieliński
5 S. Szota
88 I. Dawid

Coach: D. Myśliwiec

Zaglebie

4-2-3-1
87 S. Dioudis G
27 B. Kłudka D
25 M. Nalepa D
5 A. Ławniczak D
13 M. Grzybek D
6 T. Makowski M
8 D. Dąbrowski M
7 K. Chodyna M
17 M. Mróz M
77 M. Wdowiak M
90 D. Kurminowski F
Bench (9)
55 Luís Mata
20 M. Poletanović
21 T. Pieńko
18 Juan Muñoz
23 P. Kusztal
1 J. Burić
11 A. Woźniak
31 I. Orlikowski
16 S. Buletsa

Coach: W. Fornalik

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Gryckiewicz · 60 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.