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Ekstraklasa
Referee: L Kuźma
Stal Mielec
T S U U T
0–0
Full-time
Widzew Lodz
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stal Mielec Widzew Lodz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,5
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 39%
37%
41%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
52%
52%
Both score Ø 56%
48%
63%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,39 xG 0,64
42% Possession 58%
7 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stal Mielec 9. · Widzew Lodz 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Jagiellonia 27 15 7 5 +28 +13.4 52
2 Slask Wroclaw 27 14 8 5 +14 +4.8 50
3 Lech Poznan 27 13 9 5 +9 -2.8 48
4 Pogon Szczecin 28 14 5 9 +22 +12.9 47
5 Rakow 27 12 9 6 +19 +19.6 45
6 Legia 27 12 9 6 +10 +7.8 45
7 Gornik Zabrze 27 12 6 9 +4 -4.6 42
8 Widzew Lodz 27 11 5 11 +0 -3.9 38
9 Stal Mielec 27 10 7 10 -1 -9.9 37
10 Radomiak Radom 27 9 8 10 -8 -0.0 35
11 Zaglebie 27 9 8 10 -9 +3.9 35
12 Warta Poznan 28 7 10 11 -7 -7.7 31
13 Cracovia 27 5 14 8 -3 -1.7 29
14 Piast Gliwice 27 5 14 8 -6 +10.4 29
15 Korona Kielce 28 5 12 11 -8 -2.5 27
16 Puszcza 27 5 11 11 -13 -17.3 26
17 Ruch Chorzow 28 2 14 12 -18 -5.6 20
18 LKS Lodz 27 4 6 17 -33 -16.9 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stal Mielec Widzew Lodz
6′
🟨 Mateusz Żyro
Piotr Wlazło 🟨
20′
32′
🟨 Serafin Szota
Half-time 0–0
47′
🟨 Marek Hanousek
I. Gheorghe 🔁
↦ I. Strzałek
58′
67′
🔁 E. Terpiłowski
↦ Fábio Nunes
75′
🔁 K. Cybulski
↦ A. Klimek
75′
🔁 I. Rondić
↦ Jordi Sánchez
K. Meriluoto 🔁
↦ I. Shkurin
76′
K. Hinokio 🔁
↦ M. Domański
76′
78′
🟨 Imad Rondić
81′
🔁 N. Diliberto
↦ D. Kun
Rafa Santos 🔁
↦ P. Wlazło
89′
K. Wołkowicz 🔁
↦ K. Getinger
89′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Stal Mielec

3-4-2-1
1 M. Kochalski G
3 B. Esselink D
21 M. Matras D
55 M. Pingot D
27 A. Jaunzems M
16 M. Guillaumier M
18 P. Wlazło M
23 K. Getinger M
86 I. Strzałek F
10 M. Domański F
17 I. Shkurin F
Bench (9)
31 I. Gheorghe
42 K. Meriluoto
8 K. Hinokio
22 Rafa Santos
11 K. Wołkowicz
7 Ł. Gerstenstein
5 M. Ehmann
13 K. Jałocha
25 Ł. Wolsztyński

Coach: K. Kiereś

Widzew Lodz

4-3-3
1 R. Gikiewicz G
5 S. Szota D
4 M. Żyro D
15 Juan Ibiza D
2 Luís Silva D
22 D. Kun M
25 M. Hanousek M
19 B. Pawłowski M
92 Fábio Nunes F
9 Jordi Sánchez F
47 A. Klimek F
Bench (8)
13 E. Terpiłowski
78 K. Cybulski
99 I. Rondić
44 N. Diliberto
35 I. Krajčírik
23 P. Zieliński
8 D. Tkacz
37 S. Kerk

Coach: D. Myśliwiec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Kuźma · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.