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Ekstraklasa

Referee: P Gryckiewicz

Zaglebie

S S T T U

1–0

Full-time

Puszcza

S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaglebie Puszcza

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

1,8

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,02 xG 0,82

59% Possession 41%

19 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 5

0 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zaglebie 15. · Puszcza 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	2	2	0	0	+3	-1.0	6
2	Legia	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.9	6
3	Pogon Szczecin	2	1	1	0	+3	+2.0	4
4	Piast Gliwice	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.1	4
5	Widzew Lodz	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.0	4
6	Cracovia	2	1	1	0	+1	-2.5	4
7	Lech Poznan	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.5	3
8	Rakow	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.5	3
9	Radomiak Radom	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.9	3
10	Motor Lublin	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.1	3
11	GKS Katowice	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.4	3
12	Stal Mielec	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.4	1
13	Puszcza	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.5	1
14	Gornik Zabrze	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.9	1
15	Zaglebie	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.9	1
16	Lechia Gdansk	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.4	1
17	Slask Wroclaw	2	0	1	1	-2	+1.3	1
18	Korona Kielce	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.0	3
2	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.9	3
3	Piast Gliwice	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
4	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.6	3
5	Legia	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.9	3
6	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.0	3
7	Zaglebie	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
8	Puszcza	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
9	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
10	Cracovia	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
11	Stal Mielec	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.4	1
12	Radomiak Radom	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.8	0
13	GKS Katowice	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
14	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.4	0
15	Korona Kielce	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
16	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.1	0
17	Motor Lublin	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Motor Lublin	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.1	3
2	Rakow	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
3	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.8	3
4	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
5	Cracovia	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.4	3
6	Legia	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
7	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.4	3
8	Pogon Szczecin	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
9	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
10	Piast Gliwice	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
11	Widzew Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.0	1
12	Gornik Zabrze	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.9	1
13	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.0	0
14	Puszcza	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
15	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
16	Zaglebie	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.9	0
17	Korona Kielce	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.