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Superligaen
Referee: J Burchardt
Aarhus
T S S U T
4–0
Full-time
Sonderjyske
T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Sonderjyske
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
This season — Superligaen · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,5
1,5
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,45 xG 0,52
61% Possession 39%
15 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aarhus 8. · Sonderjyske 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Randers FC 2 2 0 0 +3 +1.4 6
2 FC Copenhagen 2 2 0 0 +3 -0.5 6
3 Nordsjaelland 2 1 1 0 +3 +1.1 4
4 Brondby 2 1 1 0 +1 +1.9 4
5 Silkeborg 2 1 0 1 +0 +1.6 3
6 Aalborg 2 1 0 1 -2 -0.9 3
7 Midtjylland 2 0 2 0 +0 -0.1 2
8 Aarhus 2 0 1 1 -1 1
9 Sonderjyske 2 0 1 1 -1 -1.6 1
10 Viborg 2 0 1 1 -2 -1.6 1
11 Lyngby 2 0 1 1 -2 +0.5 1
12 Vejle 2 0 0 2 -2 -1.8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aarhus Sonderjyske
Frederik Brandhof 🟨
34′
1–0 P. Mortensen
35′
E. Kahl 🔁
↦ J. Jensen-Abbew
44′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Lukas Björklund
2–0 P. Mortensen
T. Bech
49′
3–0 T. Bech
M. Anderson
50′
4–0 M. Madsen
56′
61′
🔁 M. Dal Hende
↦ M. Haidara
61′
🔁 I. Djantou
↦ L. Björklund
61′
🔁 I. Nikolov
↦ J. Gallegos
R. Gyamfi 🔁
↦ T. Bech
71′
J. Andersen 🔁
↦ G. Links
72′
M. Akoto 🔁
↦ F. Brandhof
72′
75′
🔁 M. Ladefoged
↦ K. Ingason
81′
🟨 Andreas Oggesen
83′
🔁 D. Wilkins
↦ A. Oggesen
L. Callø 🔁
↦ M. Akoto
87′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Aarhus

3-5-2
1 J. Hansen G
3 H. Dalsgaard D
5 F. Tingager D
40 J. Jensen-Abbew D
2 F. Beijmo M
8 M. Anderson M
29 F. Brandhof M
7 M. Madsen M
11 G. Links M
31 T. Bech F
9 P. Mortensen F
Bench (9)
19 E. Kahl
18 R. Gyamfi
26 J. Andersen
27 M. Akoto
33 L. Callø
23 T. Bach
10 S. Haugen
21 P. Bjur
22 L. Wahlstedt

Coach: U. Rösler

Sonderjyske

3-5-2
1 N. Flø G
12 M. Soulas D
26 T. Sommer D
6 R. Vinderslev D
22 A. Oggesen M
7 S. Emini M
31 M. Haidara M
8 L. Björklund M
21 A. Barkarson M
10 K. Ingason F
17 J. Gallegos F
Bench (9)
5 M. Dal Hende
9 I. Djantou
18 I. Nikolov
19 M. Ladefoged
13 D. Wilkins
16 J. Busk
25 M. Agger
14 S. Andreasen
11 A. Lyng

Coach: T. Nørgaard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Burchardt · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.