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Ekstraklasa
Referee: D Sylwestrzak
Cracovia
U S T S S
3–4
Full-time
GKS Katowice
S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cracovia GKS Katowice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,3
3,5
Scored
2,5
2,0
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 47%
64%
29%
Points per game
2,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
64%
64%
Both score Ø 65%
79%
50%
Average goals
3,6
2,8
Scored
2,1
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

0,98 xG 2,64
54% Possession 46%
13 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 7
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cracovia 4. · GKS Katowice 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 14 10 1 3 +15 +7.7 31
2 Jagiellonia 14 10 1 3 +7 -1.0 31
3 Rakow 14 9 3 2 +13 +9.3 30
4 Cracovia 14 9 2 3 +10 +2.3 29
5 Legia 14 7 4 3 +12 +7.7 25
6 Pogon Szczecin 15 7 1 7 +1 +4.9 22
7 Motor Lublin 15 6 3 6 -5 -3.2 21
8 Piast Gliwice 15 5 5 5 +1 -0.5 20
9 Widzew Lodz 14 5 4 5 -1 -1.1 19
10 Gornik Zabrze 14 5 3 6 +1 +1.8 18
11 Zaglebie 14 5 3 6 -5 -2.5 18
12 GKS Katowice 14 4 4 6 +1 +1.0 16
13 Radomiak Radom 14 5 1 8 -2 -1.1 16
14 Korona Kielce 15 4 4 7 -10 -1.8 16
15 Stal Mielec 14 3 3 8 -7 +0.7 12
16 Puszcza 14 2 5 7 -10 -8.7 11
17 Lechia Gdansk 15 2 5 8 -11 -14.4 11
18 Slask Wroclaw 13 1 6 6 -10 -1.2 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cracovia GKS Katowice
15′
M. Mak 0–1
27′
🔁 S. Bergier
↦ A. Zreľák
Patryk Sokołowski 🟨
29′
39′
M. Mak 0–2
Half-time 1–2
1–2 M. Maigaard
48′
50′
🟨 Lukas Klemenz
52′
🟨 Sebastian Bergier
M. van Buren 🔁
↦ F. Rózga
60′
62′
A. Błąd 1–3
O. Repka
2–3 M. Maigaard
70′
B. Biedrzycki 🔁
↦ D. Ólafsson
71′
Amir Al Ammari 🔁
↦ J. Jugas
71′
M. Bochnak 🔁
↦ P. Sokołowski
81′
82′
🟨 Mateusz Mak
83′
🔁 S. Milewski
↦ M. Mak
3–3 B. Källman
B. Biedrzycki
93′
94′
🔁 M. Marzec
↦ Borja Galán
97′
S. Milewski 3–4
M. Kowalczyk
Henrich Ravas 🟨
98′
Arttu Hoskonen 🟨
99′
Amir Al-Ammari 🟨
100′
100′
🟨 Adrian Błąd
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Cracovia

3-4-3
27 H. Ravas G
24 J. Jugas D
22 A. Hoskonen D
3 A. Skovgaard D
25 O. Kakabadze M
88 P. Sokołowski M
11 M. Maigaard M
19 D. Ólafsson M
14 A. Hasić F
9 B. Källman F
18 F. Rózga
Bench (8)
7 M. van Buren
16 B. Biedrzycki
6 Amir Al Ammari
17 M. Bochnak
77 P. Janasik
8 J. Atanasov
23 F. Bzdyl
13 S. Madejski

Coach: D. Kroczek

GKS Katowice

3-4-3
1 D. Kudła G
30 A. Czerwiński D
4 A. Jędrych D
6 L. Klemenz D
23 M. Wasielewski M
77 M. Kowalczyk M
5 O. Repka M
8 Borja Galán M
11 A. Błąd F
99 A. Zreľák F
10 M. Mak F
Bench (9)
7 S. Bergier
22 S. Milewski
17 M. Marzec
74 J. Antczak
32 R. Strączek
13 B. Jaroszek
21 B. Baranowicz
25 Ł. Trepka
28 A. Bród

Coach: R. Górak

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Sylwestrzak · 101 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.