← Match Finder
Conference League
Referee: A Chivulete
Lech Poznan
S S U S U
1–1
Full-time
Mainz
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Lech Poznan Mainz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,8
0,5
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,3
Scored
2,3
1,5
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,89 xG 1,23
68% Possession 32%
20 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 5
8 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 7
2 Corners 5
2 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Lech Poznan Mainz
26′
🔁 S. Kawasaki
↦ S. Widmer
28′
⚽ S. Kawasaki 0–1
B. Hollerbach
Antoni Kozubal 🟨
31′
33′
ℹ️ Benedict Hollerbach
VAR: Goal cancelled
37′
🟨 Nikolas Veratschnig
1–1 M. Ishak ⚽
41′
Half-time 1–1
T. Ouma 🔁
↦ F. Jagiello
46′
51′
🟨 Sota Kawasaki
66′
🟨 Nikolas Veratschnig
66′
🟥 Nikolas Veratschnig
L. Bengtsson 🔁
↦ L. Palma
67′
T. Ismaheel 🔁
↦ A. Gholizadeh
67′
Michal Gurgul 🟨
70′
71′
🔁 A. Nordin
↦ N. Weiper
71′
🔁 W. Boving
↦ Lee Jae-Sung
Y. Agnero 🔁
↦ A. Kozubal
81′
85′
🔁 L. Maloney
↦
85′
🔁 F. Moreno Fell
↦ B. Hollerbach
J. Moutinho 🔁
↦ M. Gurgul
86′
89′
🟨 Daniel Batz
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Lech Poznan

4-2-3-1
41 B. Mrozek G
2 J. Pereira D
27 W. Monka D
72 M. Skrzypczak D
15 M. Gurgul D
43 A. Kozubal M
24 F. Jagiello M
8 A. Gholizadeh M
99 P. Rodriguez M
77 L. Palma M
9 M. Ishak F
Bench (12)
31 K. Bakowski
33 M. Pruchniewski
4 J. Moutinho
6 T. Ouma
7 Y. Agnero
14 L. Bengtsson
19 B. Fiabema
20 R. Gumny
21 B. Baranski
54 K. Jakobczyk
56 K. Lisman
88 T. Ismaheel

Coach: Niels Frederiksen

Mainz

5-3-2
33 D. Batz G
30 S. Widmer D
21 D. da Costa D
25 A. Hanche-Olsen D
31 D. Kohr D
22 N. Veratschnig D
8 P. Nebel M
6 K. Sano M
7 Lee Jae-Sung M
17 B. Hollerbach F
44 N. Weiper F
Bench (12)
1 L. Riess
35 L. Babatz
5 M. Leitsch
9 A. Nordin
11 A. Sieb
14 W. Boving
15 L. Maloney
16 S. Bell
24 S. Kawasaki
36 F. Moreno Fell
37 B. Bobzien
48 K. Potulski

Coach: Urs Fischer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Chivulete · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
12,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.