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Conference League
Referee: P Kolaric
Sigma Olomouc
T U S S T
1–2
Full-time
Lech Poznan
S U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sigma Olomouc Lech Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 80%
80%
80%
Average goals
2,6
3,4
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,99 xG 2,56
41% Possession 59%
18 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 0
4 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 2
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sigma Olomouc Lech Poznan
35′
⚽ M. Ishak 0–1
M. Gurgul
45′
⚽ M. Ishak 0–2
Half-time 0–2
Abdoulaye Sylla 🟨
46′
J. Sip 🔁
↦ A. Ghali
46′
J. Kliment 🔁
↦ S. Langer
53′
Radim Breite 🟨
59′
62′
🔁 L. Bengtsson
↦ L. Palma
72′
🔁 A. Gholizadeh
↦ P. Rodriguez
72′
🔁 K. Lisman
↦ T. Ismaheel
A. Dolznikov 🔁
↦ J. Navratil
76′
1–2 J. Kral ⚽
T. Kostadinov
84′
M. Tijani 🔁
↦ D. Vasulin
85′
88′
🔁 Y. Agnero
↦ M. Ishak
88′
🔁 R. Gumny
↦ J. Pereira
90′
🟨 Timothy Ouma
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sigma Olomouc

4-3-3
91 J. Koutny G
22 M. Hadas D
2 A. Sylla D
21 J. Kral D
16 F. Slavicek D
37 S. Langer M
7 R. Breite M
10 T. Kostadinov M
70 A. Ghali F
15 D. Vasulin F
30 J. Navratil F
Bench (12)
29 T. Stoppen
98 M. Hruska
6 J. Sip
9 J. Kliment
13 J. Slama
26 M. Tijani
33 M. Maly
39 D. Janosek
66 P. Siegl
75 S. Michez
77 A. Dolznikov
80 V. Zahradnicek

Coach: Tomas Janotka

Lech Poznan

4-4-2
41 B. Mrozek G
2 J. Pereira D
27 W. Monka D
72 M. Skrzypczak D
15 M. Gurgul D
99 P. Rodriguez M
6 T. Ouma M
43 A. Kozubal M
88 T. Ismaheel M
9 M. Ishak F
77 L. Palma F
Bench (12)
31 K. Bakowski
33 M. Pruchniewski
4 J. Moutinho
7 Y. Agnero
8 A. Gholizadeh
14 L. Bengtsson
19 B. Fiabema
20 R. Gumny
21 B. Baranski
53 S. Dudek
54 K. Jakobczyk
56 K. Lisman

Coach: Niels Frederiksen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.