← Match Finder
Serie B
Referee: Marco Di Bello
Palermo
S S S S U
2–1
Full-time
Padova
T S U T S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Palermo Padova
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie B · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
75%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%
22 Shots 20
7 Shots on target 5
10 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 11
0 Offside 5
10 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Palermo 2. · Padova 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Mantova 4 3 1 0 +5 +1.1 10
2 Palermo 4 3 1 0 +4 +1.0 10
3 Sudtirol 4 2 2 0 +3 -1.3 8
4 Modena 4 2 1 1 +3 +0.7 7
5 Avellino 4 2 1 1 +3 -0.6 7
6 Cesena 5 1 4 0 +1 +0.3 7
7 Ascoli 4 2 1 1 +1 -1.9 7
8 Padova 4 2 1 1 +0 -1.1 7
9 Pisa 4 2 0 2 +0 +1.3 6
10 Empoli 4 2 0 2 -1 -0.6 6
11 Arezzo 4 2 0 2 -4 -0.0 6
12 Vicenza 4 1 2 1 -2 -0.2 5
13 Juve Stabia 5 1 2 2 -3 -0.7 5
14 Verona 4 1 1 2 +2 +2.5 4
15 Virtus Entella 4 1 1 2 +1 -0.2 4
16 Benevento 4 1 1 2 +0 +1.2 4
17 Cremonese 4 1 1 2 -2 -0.5 4
18 Catanzaro 4 1 0 3 -3 -1.0 3
19 Carrarese 4 0 1 3 -3 -0.2 1
20 Sampdoria 4 0 1 3 -5 +0.0 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Mar -26 Padova – Palermo 0–1 27. Dec -25 Palermo – Padova 1–0

Match report

Palermo Padova
7′
⚽ Christian Pastina 0–1
Matteo Cocchi
9′
ℹ️ Christian Pastina
VAR: Goal confirmed
Niccolo Pierozzi 🟨
42′
1–1 Dominic Vavassori ⚽
Dennis Johnsen
44′
Tommaso Cassandro 🔁
↦ Niccolo Pierozzi
45′
Giangiacomo Magnani 🔁
↦ Mattia Bani
45′
Half-time 1–1
53′
🔁 Francesco Di Mariano
↦ Alexander Seghetti
61′
🟨 Matteo Cocchi
Filippo·Ranocchia 🟨
66′
Nahuel Estévez 🔁
↦ Filippo·Ranocchia
67′
69′
🔁 Lorenzo Carissoni
↦ Matteo Cocchi
69′
🔁 Kevin Lasagna
↦ Luca Moro
Claudio Gomes 🔁
↦ Jacopo Segre
76′
Alessandro Gabrielloni 🔁
↦ Joel Pohjanpalo
82′
2–1 Dominic Vavassori ⚽
Dennis Johnsen
83′
84′
🔁 Nicolas Galazzi
↦ Giovanni·Giunti
84′
🔁 Mattia Bortolussi
↦ Emanuele Zuelli
91′
🟥 Lorenzo Carissoni
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Palermo

3-4-2-1
14 M. Fortin G
27 N. Pierozzi D
13 M. Bani D
32 P. Ceccaroni D
9 D. Vavassori M
8 J. Segre M
10 F. Ranocchia M
3 T. Augello M
5 A. Palumbo M
17 D. Johnsen M
20 J. Pohjanpalo F
Bench (12)
29 P. Peda
63 N. Balagušs
12 M. Nespola
36 L. Mazzitelli
11 E. Gyasi
6 C. Gomes
99 A. Gabrielloni
96 G. Magnani
24 N. Estévez
84 T. Cassandro
33 A. Bozzolan
93 F. Barba

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Padova

3-5-2
22 A. Sorrentino G
27 Alessandro Dellavalle D
5 M. Lovato D
58 C. Pastina D
17 A. Capelli M
8 P. Fusi M
21 E. Zuelli M
6 G. Giunti M
34 M. Cocchi M
11 A. Seghetti F
9 L. Moro F
Bench (12)
14 M. Pompetti
1 L. Mouquet
15 K. Lasagna
25 N. Galazzi
72 C. Faedo
77 F. Di Mariano
24 L. Carissoni
10 G. Caprari
20 M. Bortolussi
32 F. Sgarbi
18 E. Silletti
7 K. Varas

Coach: N. Calabro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,54
🔒
U
4,10
🔒
B
5,59
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,20
🔒
U1,5
4,29
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,67
🔒
U2,5
2,18
🔒
O3,5
2,63
🔒
U3,5 ✓
1,44
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,70
🔒
BLS nei
2,01
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Marco Di Bello · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.