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Taça de Portugal

Imortal Albufeira

S T T

1–5

Full-time

Tondela

T U S S T

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Imortal Albufeira Tondela

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

1,7

2,5

Scored

0,3

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	O Elvas	1	1	0	0	+9	3
2	Vianense	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Alcochetense	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	Portel	1	1	0	0	+8	3
5	Guarda	1	1	0	0	+6	3
6	UD da Serra	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Sacavenense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Mação	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Varzim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Bragança	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Atlético CP	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Oliveirense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Os Marialvas	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Madalena	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Academica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Os Limianos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Juventude Évora	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Aljustrelense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	CF Benfica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Vitória de Sernache	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Santo Antonio	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Fátima	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Naval 1893	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Paredes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Merelinense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Salgueiros	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Fafe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Alcains	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Maria da Fonte	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Fazendense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Louletano	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Oliveira Hospital	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Cinfães	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Celoricense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Real	2	1	0	1	-2	3
42	Beira-Mar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	União Lamas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Rebordosa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Alpendorada	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Machico	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Camacha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Montalegre	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Ponte da Barca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	SC Covilha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Mortágua	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Florgrade	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	São João Ver	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Maia Lidador	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Vila Meã	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Atlético Malveira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Sousense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Sertanense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Uniao Nogueirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Mocarriense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Régua	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Sourense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Espinho	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Pevidem	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Caldas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	AD Nogueirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Ermesinde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Atlético Arcos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	O Grandolense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	SC Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
76	Correlhã	1	0	0	1	-3	0
77	União Montemor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
78	Pacos de Brandao	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	Ferreiras	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	Nazarenos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	Portalegrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
83	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
84	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
85	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
86	Penalva Castelo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
87	AD Fornos Algodres	1	0	0	1	-4	0
88	Uniao de Pombal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
89	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
90	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-5	0
91	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-6	0
92	Minas de Argozelo	1	0	0	1	-8	0
93	Fayal	1	0	0	1	-8	0
94	Messejanense	1	0	0	1	-8	0
95	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	O Elvas	1	1	0	0	+9	3
2	Vianense	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Alcochetense	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	UD da Serra	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Sacavenense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Mação	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Varzim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Oliveirense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	CF Benfica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Fátima	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Merelinense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Salgueiros	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Alcains	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Maria da Fonte	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Fazendense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Oliveira Hospital	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Cinfães	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Celoricense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Beira-Mar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Rebordosa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Machico	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Montalegre	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	SC Covilha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Florgrade	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Maia Lidador	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Atlético Malveira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Régua	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Caldas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	AD Nogueirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Ermesinde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	SC Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
38	Real	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	Correlhã	1	0	0	1	-3	0
40	União Montemor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	Ferreiras	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	Nazarenos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Portalegrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
45	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
46	AD Fornos Algodres	1	0	0	1	-4	0
47	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-6	0
48	Messejanense	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Portel	1	1	0	0	+8	3
2	Guarda	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Bragança	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Atlético CP	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Os Marialvas	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Madalena	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Academica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Os Limianos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Juventude Évora	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Aljustrelense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Vitória de Sernache	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Santo Antonio	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Naval 1893	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Paredes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Fafe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Real	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Louletano	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	União Lamas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Alpendorada	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Camacha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Ponte da Barca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Mortágua	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	São João Ver	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Vila Meã	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Sousense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Sertanense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Uniao Nogueirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Mocarriense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Sourense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Espinho	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Pevidem	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Atlético Arcos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	O Grandolense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Pacos de Brandao	1	0	0	1	-3	0
40	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
42	Penalva Castelo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
43	Uniao de Pombal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
44	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
45	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-5	0
46	Minas de Argozelo	1	0	0	1	-8	0
47	Fayal	1	0	0	1	-8	0
48	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.