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Ekstraklasa
Referee: P Malec
Motor Lublin
U T S T T
0–0
Full-time
Gornik Zabrze
T S S S S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motor Lublin Gornik Zabrze
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 51%
13%
88%
Points per game
0,6
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
63%
75%
Both score Ø 75%
75%
75%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,1
2,0
Conceded
1,9
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
14 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 3
0 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motor Lublin 17. · Gornik Zabrze 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Gornik Zabrze 8 7 0 1 +8 +2.3 21
2 Wisla 9 5 2 2 +5 +4.5 17
3 Legia 8 4 4 0 +9 +4.6 16
4 Lech Poznan 7 5 1 1 +6 +6.4 16
5 Zaglebie 8 4 3 1 +3 -0.2 15
6 Korona Kielce 9 4 3 2 +2 -3.6 15
7 Piast Gliwice 8 4 1 3 +2 -4.8 13
8 Pogon Szczecin 7 3 3 1 +5 -1.1 12
9 GKS Katowice 8 4 0 4 +3 -1.3 12
10 Jagiellonia 7 4 0 3 +1 +1.9 12
11 Widzew Lodz 9 1 6 2 +0 -0.2 9
12 Cracovia 9 2 2 5 -5 +3.2 8
13 Wisla Plock 7 2 2 3 -5 -0.9 8
14 Radomiak Radom 8 2 2 4 -9 -2.4 8
15 Slask Wroclaw 9 1 3 5 -4 -0.1 6
16 Wieczysta Krakow 8 1 2 5 -6 -0.9 5
17 Motor Lublin 8 1 2 5 -6 -1.0 5
18 Rakow 9 1 0 8 -9 -6.5 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Motor Lublin Gornik Zabrze
Ivo Rodrigues 🟨
22′
Mateusz Legowski 🔁
↦ Ivo Rodrigues
34′
Mariusz Misiura 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Rafał Janicki
53′
🟨 Janis Antiste
63′
🔁 Erik Prekop
↦ Janis Antiste
71′
🔁 Paulo Bernardo
↦ Kacper Urbanski
Rony Lopes 🔁
↦ Mbaye Jacques Ndiaye
72′
Fabio Ronaldo Costa Conceicao 🔁
↦ Makan Aiko
72′
82′
🔁 Zeidane Inoussa
↦ Maksym Khlan
83′
🔁 Yvan Ikia Dimi
↦ Peter Federico González Carmona
91′
🟨 Yvan Ikia Dimi
Marek Kristian Bartos 🟨
93′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Motor Lublin

4-1-4-1
33 G. Tratnik G
17 K. Lukoszek D
39 M. Bartoš D
18 B. Bereszyński D
24 F. Luberecki D
27 Y. Bourhane M
30 M. Ndiaye M
7 Ivo Rodrigues M
8 C. Simon M
70 M. Aïko M
10 K. Czubak F
Bench (12)
5 A. Akatov
47 Alioune Tall
11 Fábio Ronaldo
90 Dominik Gregorski
23 F. Haxha
6 M. Łęgowski
2 Paskal Konrad Meyer
4 T. Plavotić
71 M. Popa
77 Mateusz Posmyk
9 Rony Lopes
29 T. Santos

Coach: M. Misiura

Gornik Zabrze

4-3-3
1 P. Schulze G
61 M. Sáček D
26 R. Janicki D
20 Josema Sánchez D
21 O. Zmrzlý D
82 K. Urbański M
6 M. Højholt M
14 J. Kubicki M
19 Peter F
9 J. Antiste F
33 M. Khlan F
Bench (10)
2 P. Warczak
18 L. Sadílek
11 E. Prekop
99 T. Loska
23 S. Liseth
27 Z. Inoussa
7 Y. Ikia Dimi
28 B. Donio
4 P. Bochniewicz
8 Paulo Bernardo

Coach: M. Gašparík

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,04
U ✓
3,40
B
2,19
Over/under goals
O1,5
1,22
U1,5 ✓
3,80
O2,5
1,74
U2,5 ✓
2,01
O3,5
2,75
U3,5 ✓
1,36
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,60
BLS nei ✓
2,20

Referee

P Malec · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.