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Premiership
St Mirren
S U S T T
0–3
Full-time
Dundee United
T T S T U
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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Dundee United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

60% Possession 40%
10 Shots 13
0 Shots on target 9
4 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 7
2 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 4. · Dundee United 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Celtic 6 6 0 0 +11 +12.2 18
2 Rangers 6 4 1 1 +3 +2.3 13
3 Hearts 6 4 0 2 +6 +1.3 12
4 St Mirren 6 3 1 2 +2 +0.8 10
5 Motherwell 6 2 2 2 -1 +2.4 8
6 Dundee 6 2 1 3 +1 -2.2 7
7 ST Johnstone 6 2 1 3 -1 +0.2 7
8 Aberdeen 6 2 1 3 -1 -3.5 7
9 Hibernian 6 2 0 4 -3 +1.2 6
10 Falkirk 6 1 2 3 -3 -4.4 5
11 Dundee United 6 1 2 3 -5 -1.3 5
12 Kilmarnock 6 1 1 4 -9 -8.9 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Mirren Dundee United
6′
Jesse Randall 0–1
Daniel Bennie
12′
Lyall Cameron 0–2
Idjessi Metsoko
Killian Phillips ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
20′
42′
🟥 Daniel Bennie
VAR: Red card cancelled
43′
🟨 Daniel Bennie
45′
Kevin Ciubotaru 0–3
Jesse Randall
Jake Young 🔁
↦ Fraser Taylor
45′
Half-time 0–3
Chris Mochrie 🔁
↦ Killian Phillips
66′
Jake Young 🟨
70′
73′
🔁 Will Ferry
↦ Daniel Bennie
73′
🔁 Lachlan Rose
↦ Idjessi Metsoko
Josh Farquhar 🔁
↦ Ismeal Kabia
77′
Luke Thomas 🔁
↦ Eseosa Sule
77′
78′
🔁 abdoulaye yoro
↦ Lyall Cameron
78′
🔁 Neil Farrugia
↦ Jesse Randall
80′
🟨 Will Ferry
83′
🔁 Panutche Camara
↦ Zidane Iqbal
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

St Mirren

1 J. Chapman G
9 Eseosa Sule F
47 C. Ramsay D
88 K. Phillips M
48 P. Nsio M
19 Ismeal Kabia F
3 D. John D
13 A. Gogić M
53 Henry Fieldson D
30 F. Taylor M
8 R. Carr M
Bench (9)
26 M. De Barros
24 Joshua Farquhar
6 Louis Jackson
37 C. McEvoy
23 C. Mochrie
31 R. Mullen
2 J. Richardson
16 L. Thomas
20 J. Young

Coach: Craig McLeish

Dundee United

10 D. Tait M
77 D. Bennie F
16 L. Cameron M
19 K. Ciubotaru D
3 B. Esselink D
18 M. Forbes D
14 Zidane Iqbal M
93 I. Metsoko F
21 J. Randall F
23 J. Rawlins D
1 J. Walton G
Bench (9)
26 Abdoulaye Yoro
9 Z. Sapsford
15 L. Rose
22 D. Naamo
4 I. Iovu
11 W. Ferry
20 N. Farrugia
8 Panutche Camará
30 J. Amissah

Coach: J. Goodwin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,30
U
3,60
B ✓
2,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,17
U1,5
4,50
O2,5 ✓
1,59
U2,5
2,27
O3,5
2,38
U3,5 ✓
1,50
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,48
BLS nei ✓
2,43

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.