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Superligaen
Midtjylland
S U S U S
4–1
Full-time
Brondby
S S S T T
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Brondby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
2,8
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 57%
57%
57%
Points per game
2,1
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
43%
57%
Both score Ø 64%
71%
57%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,6
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

46% Possession 54%
15 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
6 Corners 2
3 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Midtjylland 3. · Brondby 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 8 7 0 1 +14 +0.7 21
2 Nordsjaelland 8 5 2 1 +7 +8.7 17
3 Midtjylland 7 4 3 0 +5 +2.8 15
4 Viborg 8 4 2 2 +4 +3.2 14
5 Brondby 7 4 1 2 +1 -1.4 13
6 Horsens 8 3 1 4 -1 -5.6 10
7 Randers FC 8 3 1 4 -1 -5.0 10
8 Odense 8 2 2 4 -6 -1.0 8
9 Lyngby 8 1 4 3 -2 +3.9 7
10 Silkeborg 8 1 4 3 -4 -3.4 7
11 Aarhus 8 0 4 4 -6 +2.2 4
12 Sonderjyske 8 0 2 6 -11 -5.2 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Midtjylland Brondby
1–0 Rasmus Kristensen
1′
Friday Etim ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
22′
2–0 Stanley Iheanacho
Cho Gue-sung
23′
Stanley Iheanacho ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
24′
Beni Junior 🔁
↦ David Martínez
37′
45′
🔁 Marcus Younis
↦ Oskar Fenger
45′
🔁 Olti Hyseni
↦ Filip Bundgaard Kristensen
Half-time 2–0
Denil Castillo 🔁
↦ Kjell-Arik Wätjen
53′
64′
🔁 Christopher Olivier
↦ Oliver Marc Rose-Villadsen
Stanley Iheanacho 🟨
67′
69′
Max Isaac Ejdum 2–1
Mads Frokjaer-Jensen
73′
🟨 Max Isaac Ejdum
74′
🔁 Raphael Canut
↦ Jordi Vanlerberghe
3–1 Stanley Iheanacho
Cho Gue-sung
74′
76′
🟨 Raphael Canut
81′
🔁 Casper Winther
↦ Sho Fukuda
Mileta Rajovic 🔁
↦ Stanley Iheanacho
83′
Julius Emefile 🔁
↦ Friday Etim
83′
4–1 Magnus Jensen
89′
89′
🟨 Bartosz Ślisz
89′
🟥 Bartosz Ślisz
92′
Olti Hyseni 4–2
Mads Frokjaer-Jensen
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Midtjylland

3-5-2
1 E. Ólafsson G
5 R. Kristensen D
3 M. Jensen D
8 P. Billing D
18 S. Iheanacho M
29 K. Wätjen M
98 D. Martínez M
19 P. Bravo M
55 V. Bak Jensen M
90 F. Etim F
10 Cho Gue-Sung F
Bench (9)
25 N. Bakker
21 D. Castillo
38 J. Emefile
15 B. Dje Bi Dje
34 N. A. Aziz
9 M. Rajović
17 M. Uhre
42 Frederik Vestergaard
27 S. Johannesen

Coach: M. Tullberg

Brondby

4-2-3-1
1 P. Pentz G
2 O. Villadsen D
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
32 F. Alves D
24 M. Divković D
99 B. Slisz M
18 M. Ejdum M
19 S. Fukuda M
29 M. Frøkjær-Jensen M
11 F. Bundgaard M
51 O. Fenger F
Bench (9)
10 D. Wass
50 W. Sonne Schmid
3 Christopher Olivier
9 P. Mortensen
27 M. Köhlert
15 C. Winther
7 O. Hyseni
37 R. Canut
21 M. Younis

Coach: Thomas Nörgaard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,77
U
3,80
B
4,17
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,17
U1,5
5,00
O2,5 ✓
1,56
U2,5
2,38
O3,5 ✓
2,25
U3,5
1,55
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,52
BLS nei
2,37

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.