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Superligaen

Referee: Jacob A Sundberg

Aarhus

T T U T T

0–2

Full-time

Midtjylland

U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Midtjylland

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,7

2,8

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

2,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

60%

Points per game

0,6

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

80%

40%

Both score Ø 90%

100%

80%

Average goals

3,2

2,6

Scored

1,4

1,6

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%

18 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 7

5 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

19 Free kicks against 20

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aarhus 10. · Midtjylland 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nordsjaelland	5	4	1	0	+7	+8.5	13
2	Viborg	6	4	1	1	+6	+3.2	13
3	Brondby	6	4	1	1	+4	-1.4	13
4	FC Copenhagen	5	4	0	1	+5	+0.7	12
5	Midtjylland	5	3	2	0	+3	+3.0	11
6	Horsens	6	2	1	3	-2	-5.6	7
7	Randers FC	6	2	1	3	-3	-5.0	7
8	Odense	6	1	2	3	-2	-1.0	5
9	Silkeborg	6	1	2	3	-4	-3.4	5
10	Aarhus	5	0	3	2	-2	+2.2	3
11	Lyngby	6	0	3	3	-4	+3.9	3
12	Sonderjyske	6	0	1	5	-8	-5.2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viborg	3	3	0	0	+6	+0.1	9
2	Brondby	3	3	0	0	+4	+0.8	9
3	Nordsjaelland	3	3	0	0	+4	+6.6	9
4	Randers FC	4	2	1	1	-1	-2.2	7
5	FC Copenhagen	2	2	0	0	+3	+0.9	6
6	Midtjylland	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.6	6
7	Silkeborg	3	1	1	1	-1	-0.3	4
8	Horsens	4	1	1	2	-2	-4.5	4
9	Lyngby	3	0	3	0	+0	+1.0	3
10	Odense	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.2	3
11	Aarhus	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.8	2
12	Sonderjyske	3	0	1	2	-4	-1.4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	3	2	0	1	+2	-0.1	6
2	Midtjylland	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.5	5
3	Nordsjaelland	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.8	4
4	Brondby	3	1	1	1	+0	-2.2	4
5	Viborg	3	1	1	1	+0	+3.1	4
6	Horsens	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.1	3
7	Odense	4	0	2	2	-2	-2.3	2
8	Aarhus	3	0	1	2	-2	+0.4	1
9	Silkeborg	3	0	1	2	-3	-3.1	1
10	Randers FC	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.8	0
11	Lyngby	3	0	0	3	-4	+2.9	0
12	Sonderjyske	3	0	0	3	-4	-3.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.