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Championship

Referee: J Busby

Coventry

U S T T S

1–2

Full-time

Sunderland

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Coventry Sunderland

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,0

1,3

Scored

1,2

0,2

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Championship · 44/43 matches

Win Ø 46%

43%

49%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

50%

42%

Both score Ø 50%

52%

47%

Average goals

2,6

2,2

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,3

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,52 xG 1,46

75% Possession 25%

21 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 1

1 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Coventry 8. · Sunderland 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Leeds	46	29	13	4	+65	+59.6	100
2	Burnley	46	28	16	2	+53	+20.9	100
3	Sheffield United	44	27	7	10	+28	+19.7	88
4	Sunderland	43	21	12	10	+18	+11.6	75
5	Bristol City	45	17	16	12	+2	-1.6	67
6	Blackburn	46	19	9	18	+5	-3.3	66
7	Millwall	46	18	12	16	-2	+3.0	66
8	Coventry	44	19	8	17	+3	+15.6	65
9	West Brom	46	15	19	12	+10	+12.6	64
10	Middlesbrough	46	18	10	18	+8	+10.3	64
11	Swansea	46	17	10	19	-5	+0.7	61
12	Sheffield Weds	46	15	13	18	-9	-0.0	58
13	Norwich	46	14	15	17	+3	+9.1	57
14	Watford	46	16	9	21	-8	-10.4	57
15	QPR	46	14	14	18	-10	-8.6	56
16	Portsmouth	46	14	12	20	-13	-12.5	54
17	Oxford	46	13	14	19	-16	-24.8	53
18	Stoke	46	12	15	19	-17	-21.1	51
19	Derby	46	13	11	22	-8	-5.3	50
20	Preston	46	10	20	16	-11	-5.7	50
21	Hull	46	12	13	21	-10	-3.8	49
22	Luton	46	13	10	23	-24	-7.0	49
23	Plymouth	46	11	13	22	-37	-43.0	46
24	Cardiff	46	9	17	20	-25	-15.9	44

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Leeds	23	18	4	1	+49	+37.8	58
2	Burnley	23	14	9	0	+27	+12.1	51
3	Bristol City	23	13	7	3	+14	+7.2	46
4	Sheffield United	21	14	3	4	+15	+17.0	45
5	Sunderland	22	12	6	4	+14	+14.4	42
6	Coventry	22	13	3	6	+13	+11.3	42
7	West Brom	23	11	8	4	+13	+12.4	41
8	Portsmouth	23	11	7	5	+12	+4.6	40
9	Blackburn	23	12	4	7	+11	+6.8	40
10	Millwall	23	12	4	7	+8	+10.0	40
11	Watford	23	12	4	7	+5	-0.3	40
12	Middlesbrough	23	11	6	6	+8	+9.1	39
13	Norwich	23	10	8	5	+18	+12.2	38
14	Oxford	23	11	5	7	+2	-6.5	38
15	Swansea	23	10	6	7	+9	+8.9	36
16	Luton	23	9	7	7	+3	+10.1	34
17	Plymouth	23	9	7	7	+1	-7.9	34
18	Stoke	23	8	9	6	+4	-5.4	33
19	Preston	23	7	12	4	+4	+7.1	33
20	Derby	23	9	5	9	+7	+4.6	32
21	QPR	23	7	8	8	-3	+0.4	29
22	Cardiff	23	7	6	10	-3	+0.5	27
23	Sheffield Weds	23	6	8	9	-2	+6.6	26
24	Hull	23	5	8	10	-4	+5.7	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Burnley	23	14	7	2	+26	+8.8	49
2	Sheffield United	23	13	4	6	+13	+2.7	43
3	Leeds	23	11	9	3	+16	+21.8	42
4	Sunderland	21	9	6	6	+4	-2.8	33
5	Sheffield Weds	23	9	5	9	-7	-6.6	32
6	QPR	23	7	6	10	-7	-8.9	27
7	Hull	23	7	5	11	-6	-9.5	26
8	Blackburn	23	7	5	11	-6	-10.1	26
9	Millwall	23	6	8	9	-10	-7.0	26
10	Middlesbrough	23	7	4	12	+0	+1.2	25
11	Swansea	23	7	4	12	-14	-8.2	25
12	West Brom	23	4	11	8	-3	+0.2	23
13	Coventry	22	6	5	11	-10	+4.4	23
14	Bristol City	22	4	9	9	-12	-8.8	21
15	Norwich	23	4	7	12	-15	-3.1	19
16	Derby	23	4	6	13	-15	-9.9	18
17	Stoke	23	4	6	13	-21	-15.6	18
18	Watford	23	4	5	14	-13	-10.1	17
19	Preston	23	3	8	12	-15	-12.8	17
20	Cardiff	23	2	11	10	-22	-16.4	17
21	Oxford	23	2	9	12	-18	-18.4	15
22	Luton	23	4	3	16	-27	-17.0	15
23	Portsmouth	23	3	5	15	-25	-17.1	14
24	Plymouth	23	2	6	15	-38	-35.1	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.