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Serie B
Referee: A Prontera
Cosenza
U U T S T
0–1
Full-time
Cesena
U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cosenza Cesena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
This season — Serie B · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 26%
19%
33%
Points per game
0,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
42%
42%
Both score Ø 56%
53%
58%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%
12 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cosenza 20. · Cesena 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 36 25 7 4 +43 82
2 Pisa 36 21 7 8 +24 70
3 Spezia 36 16 15 5 +25 63
4 Cremonese 36 15 13 8 +18 58
5 Juve Stabia 36 14 12 10 +2 54
6 Catanzaro 36 10 19 7 +4 49
7 Palermo 36 13 9 14 +7 48
8 Bari 36 10 17 9 +3 47
9 Cesena 36 12 11 13 -3 47
10 Modena 36 10 14 12 -1 44
11 Sudtirol 36 12 8 16 -7 44
12 Carrarese 36 11 11 14 -9 44
13 Reggiana 36 10 11 15 -10 41
14 Mantova 36 9 13 14 -10 40
15 Frosinone 36 8 16 12 -12 40
16 Brescia 36 8 15 13 -7 39
17 Salernitana 36 10 9 17 -11 39
18 Sampdoria 36 7 16 13 -12 37
19 Cittadella 36 9 10 17 -23 37
20 Cosenza 36 7 13 16 -21 34

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. Dec -24 Cesena – Cosenza 2–1

Match report

Cosenza Cesena
12′
S. Bastoni 0–1
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 M. Antonucci
↦ S. Bastoni
51′
🟨 Dario Šarić
R. Ciervo 🔁
↦ B. Cimino
57′
T. Vettorel 🔁
↦ A. Micai
57′
J. Novello 🔁
↦ G. Artistico
57′
65′
🔁 T. Berti
↦ D. Šarić
T. D'Orazio 🔁
↦ G. Ricci
67′
73′
🔁 L. Mendicino
↦ G. Calò
Filippo Sgarbi 🟨
77′
J. Cruz 🔁
↦ C. Kourfalidis
78′
89′
🔁 E. Adamo
↦ J. Ceesay
89′
🔁 D. Donnarumma
↦ C. Shpendi
93′
🟨 Matteo Francesconi
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Cosenza

3-4-2-1
1 A. Micai G
29 F. Sgarbi D
55 A. Hristov D
15 C. Dalle Mura D
2 B. Cimino M
39 C. Kourfalidis M
5 M. Gargiulo M
31 G. Ricci M
28 C. Kouan F
20 A. Rizzo Pinna F
9 G. Artistico F
Bench (12)
19 R. Ciervo
22 T. Vettorel
36 J. Novello
11 T. D'Orazio
18 J. Cruz
16 M. Ricciardi
41 L. Contiero
6 Charlys
17 A. Caporale
12 G. Baldi
10 T. Fumagalli
23 M. Venturi

Coach: M. Alvini

Cesena

3-4-2-1
33 J. Klinsmann G
15 A. Ciofi D
19 G. Prestia D
24 M. Mangraviti D
11 J. Ceesay M
70 M. Francesconi M
35 G. Calò M
13 R. Celia M
8 D. Šarić F
30 S. Bastoni F
9 C. Shpendi F
Bench (12)
23 M. Antonucci
14 T. Berti
5 L. Mendicino
17 E. Adamo
7 D. Donnarumma
1 M. Pisseri
26 M. Piacentini
20 E. Tavşan
27 A. La Gumina
93 A. Siano
73 S. Pieraccini
92 V. Coveri

Coach: M. Mignani

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,07
U
3,38
B ✓
1,90
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,01
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Prontera · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.