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2. Bundesliga
Referee: P Ittrich
2–0
Full-time
Hertha
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Preußen Münster Hertha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 30%
22%
38%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
44%
59%
Both score Ø 61%
56%
66%
Average goals
2,4
3,0
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
12 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Preußen Münster 16. · Hertha 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 32 15 11 6 +30 56
2 FC Koln 32 16 7 9 +10 55
3 Elversberg 32 14 10 8 +23 52
4 Paderborn 32 14 10 8 +12 52
5 Magdeburg 32 13 11 8 +11 50
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 32 13 11 8 +5 50
7 Kaiserslautern 32 14 8 10 +4 50
8 Hannover 32 13 10 9 +5 49
9 Karlsruhe 32 13 9 10 -1 48
10 Nurnberg 32 13 6 13 +1 45
11 Hertha 32 12 7 13 +0 43
12 Darmstadt 32 10 9 13 +0 39
13 Schalke 04 32 10 8 14 -7 38
14 Greuther Furth 32 9 8 15 -15 35
15 Braunschweig 32 8 11 13 -20 35
16 Preußen Münster 32 7 11 14 -5 32
17 Ulm 32 6 11 15 -7 29
18 Regensburg 32 6 6 20 -46 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Preußen Münster Hertha
1–0 J. Hendrix
E. Amenyido
30′
Half-time 1–0
Daniel Kyerewaa 🟨
46′
M. Kirkeskov 🔁
↦ D. Kyerewaa
46′
M. Batmaz 🔁
↦ J. Mees
50′
Niko Koulis 🟨
54′
63′
🔁 F. Niederlechner
↦ D. Scherhant
69′
🟨 Ibrahim Maza
2–0 J. Hendrix
M. Lorenz
70′
72′
🔁 M. Karbownik
↦ A. Bouchalakis
Marc Lorenz 🟨
74′
77′
🟥 Linus Gechter
Etienne Amenyido 🟨
80′
80′
🔁 K. Sessa
↦ I. Maza
80′
🔁 J. Þorsteinsson
↦ J. Kenny
D. Kinsombi 🔁
↦ R. Preißinger
85′
H. Friðjónsson 🔁
↦ E. Amenyido
85′
S. Scherder 🔁
↦ M. Lorenz
93′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Preußen Münster

5-3-2
1 J. Schenk G
7 D. Kyerewaa D
10 S. Mrowca D
32 L. Bazzoli D
24 N. Koulis D
14 C. Makridis D
21 R. Preißinger M
20 J. Hendrix M
18 M. Lorenz M
8 J. Mees F
30 E. Amenyido F
Bench (9)
2 M. Kirkeskov
23 M. Batmaz
4 D. Kinsombi
31 H. Friðjónsson
15 S. Scherder
16 T. Paetow
13 F. Pick
5 Y. Bouchama
26 M. Behrens

Coach: K. Schulze-Marmeling

Hertha

3-5-2
12 D. Smarsch G
44 L. Gechter D
5 A. Bouchalakis D
31 M. Dárdai D
16 J. Kenny M
27 M. Cuisance M
6 D. Demme M
10 I. Maza M
42 D. Zeefuik M
11 F. Reese F
39 D. Scherhant F
Bench (9)
7 F. Niederlechner
33 M. Karbownik
8 K. Sessa
24 J. Þorsteinsson
21 B. Lum
48 M. Morgenstern
47 S. Telib
1 T. Ernst
34 M. Mohwinkel

Coach: S. Leitl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,36
U
3,82
B
2,67
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,55
U2,5 ✓
2,37
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Ittrich · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.