Ekstraklasa
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Korona Kielce
Wisla
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lech Poznan
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +6 | +3.4 | 13 |
| 2 |
Legia
|
6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +8 | +3.8 | 12 |
| 3 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | +0.6 | 12 |
| 4 |
Wisla
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | +4.3 | 10 |
| 5 |
Piast Gliwice
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +0 | -4.2 | 10 |
| 6 |
GKS Katowice
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +3 | -1.3 | 9 |
| 7 |
Jagiellonia
|
5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +2 | +2.4 | 9 |
| 8 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +3 | -1.1 | 8 |
| 9 |
Korona Kielce
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2 | -1.7 | 8 |
| 10 |
Zaglebie
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | +0.6 | 8 |
| 11 |
Cracovia
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | +3.2 | 8 |
| 12 |
Radomiak Radom
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -7 | -2.9 | 8 |
| 13 |
Widzew Lodz
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +0 | -0.2 | 7 |
| 14 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -0.6 | 6 |
| 15 |
Motor Lublin
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | -0.3 | 5 |
| 16 |
Wisla Plock
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -7 | -0.9 | 4 |
| 17 |
Wieczysta Krakow
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | -0.9 | 3 |
| 18 |
Rakow
|
5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -7 | -4.3 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
X. Dziekoński
G
W. Długosz
D
S. Rubežić
D
A. Mosór
D
K. Ciszek
D
Kamil Jakubczyk
M
M. Remacle
M
P. Hellebrand
M
O. Lingr
F
M. Stępiński
F
M. Faßbender
F
Coach: J. Zielinski
M. Łubik
G
R. Giger
D
A. Uryga
D
D. Grujčić
D
J. Krzyżanowski
D
É. Youan
M
K. Duda
M
J. Ertlthaler
M
J. Igbekeme
M
M. Božić
M
Jordi Sánchez
F
Coach: M. Jop
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Widzew Lodz
Korona Kielce
Wisla Plock
Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce
Motor Lublin
Widzew Lodz
Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce
Legia
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.