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NM-cupen

Referee: S Amland

Valerenga

S S S T U

1–2

Full-time

Fredrikstad

T U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Fredrikstad

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,0

Scored

2,5

0,8

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tromsdalen Uil	3	3	0	0	+16	9
2	Stabaek	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Levanger	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	Kongsvinger	3	2	0	1	+6	6
5	Lysekloster	2	2	0	0	+6	6
6	Sandnes ULF	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Lillestrom	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Aalesund	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Lyn	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	Eik-Tønsberg	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Mjondalen	3	2	0	1	+3	6
12	Bjarg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	Egersund	2	2	0	0	+2	6
14	Kjelsås	2	2	0	0	+2	6
15	Brattvåg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
16	hodd	2	1	1	0	+2	4
17	Odd	2	1	1	0	+2	4
18	Strommen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
19	Brann	1	1	0	0	+4	3
20	Follo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
21	Hønefoss	2	1	0	1	+2	3
22	Vard	2	1	0	1	+2	3
23	KFUM Oslo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Arendal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
25	Stjørdals-Blink	2	1	0	1	+0	3
26	Asker	2	1	0	1	+0	3
27	Start	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	Moss	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	Trygg/Lade	2	1	0	1	-1	3
30	Ulfstind	2	1	0	1	-2	3
31	Junkeren	2	1	0	1	-2	3
32	Gamle Oslo	2	1	0	1	-2	3
33	Asane	2	1	0	1	-2	3
34	Sotra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Djerv	2	0	1	1	-4	1
36	Alta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Jerv	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Strindheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Gneist	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Ranheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Flekkerøy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Eidsvold	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Madla	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Råde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Flint	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Grorud	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Spjelkavik	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Rana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Pors Grenland	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Nordstrand	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Ull/Kisa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Sogndal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Førde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Træff	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	Lørenskog	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Vidar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Skeid	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Raufoss	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Vigør	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Notodden	1	0	0	1	-4	0
62	Brumunddal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
63	Vestfossen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	Sandefjord	1	0	0	1	-5	0
65	Bærum	1	0	0	1	-5	0
66	Nardo	1	0	0	1	-6	0
67	Finnsnes	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lysekloster	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Bjarg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Kjelsås	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Tromsdalen Uil	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Eik-Tønsberg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Follo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Hønefoss	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Arendal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Asker	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Trygg/Lade	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Ulfstind	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Junkeren	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Gamle Oslo	2	1	0	1	-2	3
14	Brattvåg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Strommen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Djerv	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Strindheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Gneist	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Stjørdals-Blink	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Flekkerøy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Madla	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Råde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Flint	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Spjelkavik	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Kongsvinger	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Pors Grenland	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Nordstrand	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Ull/Kisa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Førde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Træff	1	0	0	1	-3	0
31	Lørenskog	1	0	0	1	-3	0
32	Vidar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
33	Vigør	1	0	0	1	-3	0
34	Mjondalen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
35	Brumunddal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
36	Vestfossen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
37	Bærum	1	0	0	1	-5	0
38	Nardo	1	0	0	1	-6	0
39	Finnsnes	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tromsdalen Uil	2	2	0	0	+11	6
2	Kongsvinger	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Stabaek	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	Levanger	2	2	0	0	+8	6
5	Mjondalen	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Sandnes ULF	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Lillestrom	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Aalesund	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Lyn	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	Egersund	2	2	0	0	+2	6
11	hodd	2	1	1	0	+2	4
12	Odd	2	1	1	0	+2	4
13	Brann	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Vard	2	1	0	1	+2	3
15	Brattvåg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	KFUM Oslo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Strommen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Stjørdals-Blink	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Eik-Tønsberg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Start	2	1	0	1	+0	3
21	Moss	2	1	0	1	+0	3
22	Asane	2	1	0	1	-2	3
23	Sotra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Alta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Jerv	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Ranheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Eidsvold	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Grorud	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Rana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Sogndal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Skeid	1	0	0	1	-3	0
32	Raufoss	1	0	0	1	-3	0
33	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-3	0
34	Notodden	1	0	0	1	-4	0
35	Sandefjord	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.