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Puchar Polski
Referee: Patryk Gryckiewicz
Stal Rzeszów
U S S T T
0–1
Full-time
Korona Kielce
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stal Rzeszów Korona Kielce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Polonia Bytom 2 2 0 0 +7 6
2 Świt Skolwin 2 1 1 0 +2 4
3 Hutnik Kraków 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Goczałkowice Zdrój B 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Jastrzębie 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Podbeskidzie 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Chojniczanka Chojnice 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Stal Stalowa Wola 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 Warta Poznan 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 ŁKS Łódź II 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Olimpia Grudziądz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Resovia Rzeszów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Miedź Legnica II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Kalisz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.