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OBOS-ligaen
Egersund
U T S S S
2–0
Full-time
Moss
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Egersund Moss
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,3
4,2
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
0,8
2,8
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-1,5
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 24/26 matches
Win Ø 37%
46%
27%
Points per game
1,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
46%
77%
Both score Ø 58%
50%
65%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Egersund 6. · Moss 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 26 21 5 0 +57 68
2 Start 26 13 6 7 +18 45
3 Aalesund 24 12 8 4 +21 44
4 Kongsvinger 25 12 8 5 +14 44
5 Lyn 26 13 5 8 +12 44
6 Egersund 24 11 6 7 +9 39
7 Sogndal 26 10 7 9 +0 37
8 Ranheim 25 10 6 9 -8 36
9 Odd 26 8 8 10 -1 32
10 hodd 26 8 7 11 -13 31
11 Asane 26 7 8 11 -10 29
12 Raufoss 26 6 8 12 -13 26
13 Moss 26 7 5 14 -21 26
14 Stabaek 25 5 10 10 -4 25
15 Mjondalen 25 4 6 15 -33 18
16 Skeid 26 1 9 16 -28 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Egersund Moss
34′
🟨 J. Barros
Half-time 0–0
58′
🟨 T. Jakobsen
S. Davis 🔁
↦ N. Jenssen
66′
69′
🔁 E. Race
↦ K. Strande
69′
🔁 P. Andersen
↦ S. Gronli
M. Sauer 🟨
71′
S. Adegbenro 🔁
↦ M. Haheim-Elveseter
74′
H. Tadesse 🔁
↦ P. Pichkah
74′
80′
🔁 W. Kvale
↦ J. Barros
80′
🔁 M. Afonso
↦ H. Vold Krohg
1–0 S. Vatne
81′
K. Eggen 🔁
↦ S. Vatne
85′
2–0 M. Sauer
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Egersund

1 A. Hermansen
2 H. Kleppa
5 N. Jenssen
31 I. Jonsson
3 B. Maeland
8 C. Sleveland
13 P. Pichkah
45 M. Sauer
27 S. Vatne
29 M. Haheim-Elveseter
9 O. Kapskarmo
Bench (9)
12 A. A. Lonning S.
7 N. Tornvig
14 A. Rogulj
18 P. Hovland
19 S. Adegbenro
21 K. Eggen
22 H. Tadesse
77 F. Nyenetue
91 S. Davis

Coach: Endre Eide

Moss

1 M. E. Eriksen
6 M. Lassen
3 K. Strande
4 K. Harrison
23 J. Barros
8 H. Vold Krohg
9 J. Musbaudeen
15 A. A. Engesvik
11 T. Jakobsen
21 S. Gronli
34 N. Fuglestad
Bench (7)
12 J. Sundling
5 E. Race
17 P. Andersen
19 A. Memedov
24 M. Welinder
46 W. Kvale
49 M. Afonso

Coach: Ole Martin Nesselquist

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.