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League Cup

Referee: T Reeves

Doncaster

T T S

1–2

Full-time

Everton

U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Doncaster Everton

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

0,7

0,3

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%

15 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 5

7 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 2

3 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Blackburn	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Stoke	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Leicester	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Middlesbrough	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Norwich	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Reading	2	1	1	0	+4	4
7	Cardiff	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Ipswich	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Portsmouth	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Newport County	2	1	1	0	+2	4
11	Mansfield Town	2	1	1	0	+2	4
12	Lincoln	2	1	1	0	+2	4
13	Leeds	2	1	1	0	+1	4
14	Sutton Utd	2	1	1	0	+1	4
15	Port Vale	2	1	1	0	+1	4
16	Exeter City	2	1	1	0	+1	4
17	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+5	3
18	Bristol City	2	1	0	1	+3	3
19	Swansea	2	1	0	1	+2	3
20	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Gillingham	2	1	0	1	+1	3
22	Luton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Doncaster	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Wycombe	2	1	0	1	+1	3
27	Burnley	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Plymouth	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	AFC Wimbledon	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Birmingham	2	1	0	1	+0	3
31	Bolton	2	1	0	1	-1	3
32	Blackpool	2	1	0	1	-3	3
33	Harrogate Town	2	1	0	1	-7	3
34	Salford City	2	0	2	0	+0	2
35	Sheffield Weds	2	0	2	0	+0	2
36	Peterborough	2	0	2	0	+0	2
37	Bradford	2	0	2	0	+0	2
38	Stevenage	2	0	2	0	+0	2
39	Crewe	2	0	2	0	+0	2
40	Wrexham	2	0	2	0	+0	2
41	Barnsley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Colchester	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Cambridge United	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Tottenham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Sunderland	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Stockport County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Morecambe	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Swindon Town	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Accrington ST	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Brentford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Watford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Sheffield United	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Tranmere	2	0	1	1	-2	1
57	Rotherham	2	0	1	1	-5	1
58	Walsall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Fleetwood Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Shrewsbury	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Hull	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Crawley Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	QPR	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Barrow	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Carlisle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Forest Green	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Charlton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Derby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Leyton Orient	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Notts County	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	Grimsby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	Oxford	1	0	0	1	-4	0
83	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stoke	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Newport County	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Port Vale	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Exeter City	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Bristol City	2	1	0	1	+3	3
7	Swansea	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Gillingham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Mansfield Town	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Luton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	AFC Wimbledon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Plymouth	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Bolton	2	1	0	1	-1	3
18	Harrogate Town	2	1	0	1	-7	3
19	Sheffield Weds	2	0	2	0	+0	2
20	Wrexham	2	0	2	0	+0	2
21	Barnsley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Reading	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Sutton Utd	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Sunderland	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Rotherham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Portsmouth	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Peterborough	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Salford City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Accrington ST	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Stevenage	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Sheffield United	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Hull	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	QPR	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Wycombe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Birmingham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Forest Green	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Derby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Notts County	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Tranmere	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leicester	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Middlesbrough	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Norwich	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Lincoln	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+8	3
6	Reading	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Cardiff	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Portsmouth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Wycombe	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Doncaster	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Burnley	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Sutton Utd	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Blackpool	2	1	0	1	-3	3
17	Bradford	2	0	2	0	+0	2
18	Crewe	2	0	2	0	+0	2
19	Tranmere	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Salford City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Ipswich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Colchester	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Cambridge United	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Tottenham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Mansfield Town	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Stockport County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Morecambe	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Peterborough	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Swindon Town	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Leeds	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Stevenage	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Brentford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Watford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Walsall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Gillingham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Fleetwood Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	AFC Wimbledon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Shrewsbury	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Crawley Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Barrow	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Carlisle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Charlton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Leyton Orient	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Grimsby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Oxford	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.