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Serie B
Referee: D Minelli
Sampdoria
U T U S T
1–2
Full-time
Venezia
T T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Venezia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie B · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
17 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 10
5 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sampdoria 11. · Venezia 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 3 3 0 0 +5 9
2 Modena 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Venezia 2 1 1 0 +3 4
4 Cosenza 3 1 1 1 +2 4
5 Sudtirol 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Palermo 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Catanzaro 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Bari 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Pisa 2 1 0 1 +1 3
10 Ascoli 3 1 0 2 -1 3
11 Sampdoria 2 1 0 1 -1 3
12 Cittadella 2 1 0 1 -1 3
13 Spezia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Cremonese 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Reggiana 3 0 1 2 -3 1
16 Como 2 0 1 1 -3 1
17 Ternana 2 0 0 2 -2 0
18 FeralpiSalo 3 0 0 3 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sampdoria Venezia
Valerio Verre 🟨
25′
Half-time 0–0
A. La Gumina 🔁
↦ M. De Luca
46′
1–0 Estanis Pedrola
V. Verre
46′
R. Vieira 🔁
↦ M. Ricci
57′
60′
🔁 N. Lella
↦ M. Ellertsson
61′
🔁 B. Bjarkason
↦ G. Busio
71′
🔁 C. Gytkjær
↦ D. Johnsen
71′
🔁 M. Olivieri
↦ N. Pierini
Antonino La Gumina 🟨
73′
S. Panada 🔁
↦ F. Borini
75′
N. Lemina 🔁
↦ F. Depaoli
75′
76′
C. Gytkjær 1–1
B. Bjarkason
Ronaldo Vieira 🟨
85′
86′
🔁 M. Šverko
↦ J. Pohjanpalo
89′
T. Tessmann 1–2
M. Delle Monache 🔁
↦ Estanis Pedrola
91′
Simone Panada 🟨
94′
Petar Stojanović 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sampdoria

4-3-3
1 F. Stanković G
40 P. Stojanović D
87 D. Ghilardi D
29 N. Murru D
21 S. Giordano D
23 F. Depaoli M
8 M. Ricci M
10 V. Verre M
11 Estanis Pedrola F
9 M. De Luca F
16 F. Borini F
Bench (12)
20 A. La Gumina
4 R. Vieira
6 S. Panada
92 N. Lemina
77 M. Delle Monache
19 D. Montevago
25 A. Ferrari
5 K. Askildsen
22 N. Ravaglia
28 Gerard Yepes
17 L. Malagrida
33 Facundo González

Coach: A. Pirlo

Venezia

4-3-2-1
1 J. Joronen G
27 A. Candela D
15 G. Altare D
4 J. Idzes D
7 F. Zampano D
6 G. Busio M
8 T. Tessmann M
77 M. Ellertsson M
10 N. Pierini M
17 D. Johnsen M
20 J. Pohjanpalo F
Bench (12)
24 N. Lella
19 B. Bjarkason
9 C. Gytkjær
99 M. Olivieri
33 M. Šverko
60 L. Busato
12 Bruno
23 M. Grandi
38 M. Kofod Andersen
21 D. Cheryshev
13 M. Modolo
31 M. Ullmann

Coach: P. Vanoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,16
U
3,39
B ✓
3,27
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,00
U2,5
1,79
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Minelli · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.