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Serie B

Referee: L Zufferli

Catanzaro

T S T U S

3–0

Full-time

Spezia

T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Catanzaro Spezia

Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 20%

40%

Points per game

1,4

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 72%

60%

83%

Both score Ø 64%

60%

67%

Average goals

2,6

3,5

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,6

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie B · 2/1 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

1,5

6,0

Scored

1,0

3,0

Conceded

0,5

3,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%

10 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 5

21 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Catanzaro 7. · Spezia 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Modena	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Venezia	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Cosenza	3	1	1	1	+2	4
5	Sudtirol	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Palermo	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Catanzaro	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Bari	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Pisa	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Ascoli	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Sampdoria	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Cittadella	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Cremonese	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Reggiana	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Como	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Ternana	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	FeralpiSalo	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Venezia	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Ascoli	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Cosenza	2	1	0	1	+2	3
5	Catanzaro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Cittadella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Modena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Como	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Bari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Cremonese	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Reggiana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	FeralpiSalo	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Pisa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Sudtirol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Parma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Modena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Sampdoria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Bari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Cosenza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Catanzaro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Reggiana	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Cittadella	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Como	1	0	0	1	-3	0
15	Ascoli	2	0	0	2	-4	0
16	FeralpiSalo	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.