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Championship

Referee: M Donohue

Leicester

T S U S T

2–1

Full-time

Sheffield Weds

T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leicester Sheffield Weds

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,54 xG 0,62

75% Possession 25%

27 Shots 7

13 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 11

13 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bristol City	1	1	0	0	+3	-1.0	3
2	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
3	Millwall	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
4	Southampton	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.3	3
5	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
6	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
7	Charlton	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
8	Portsmouth	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
9	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
10	Ipswich	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
11	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
12	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
13	Coventry	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.0	1
14	Hull	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.0	1
15	Norwich	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
16	Wrexham	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.3	0
17	Blackburn	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
18	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
19	Watford	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
20	Oxford	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
21	Derby	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0
22	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-3	+1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
2	Southampton	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.3	3
3	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
4	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
5	Charlton	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
6	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
7	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
8	Coventry	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.0	1
9	Norwich	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
10	Oxford	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
11	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-3	+1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bristol City	1	1	0	0	+3	-1.0	3
2	Millwall	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
3	Portsmouth	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
4	Ipswich	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
5	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
6	Hull	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.0	1
7	Wrexham	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.3	0
8	Blackburn	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
9	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
10	Watford	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
11	Derby	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.