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League Cup
Referee: T Bramall
Everton
S S U U U
1–0
Full-time
Wolves
S S T U S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Everton Wolves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,7
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — League Cup · 1/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
4,0
2,5
Scored
4,0
2,5
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+4,0
+2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%
16 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Everton 21. · Wolves 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Peterborough 3 2 1 0 +5 7
2 Bradford 3 2 1 0 +4 +0.7 7
3 Brentford 2 2 0 0 +6 +1.5 6
4 Chelsea 2 2 0 0 +5 +2.7 6
5 Wolves 2 2 0 0 +5 6
6 Fleetwood Town 2 2 0 0 +5 +0.2 6
7 West Ham 3 2 0 1 +4 6
8 Norwich 2 2 0 0 +4 6
9 Fulham 2 2 0 0 +4 +3.8 6
10 Sheffield United 2 2 0 0 +4 6
11 Newcastle 2 2 0 0 +2 6
12 Lincoln 3 2 0 1 +0 6
13 Middlesbrough 3 2 0 1 +0 6
14 Barnsley 3 1 2 0 +1 5
15 Reading 3 1 1 1 +2 +0.3 4
16 Stoke 2 1 1 0 +2 -1.0 4
17 Walsall 2 1 1 0 +1 4
18 Leyton Orient 3 1 1 1 +0 -1.0 4
19 Millwall 3 1 1 1 +0 +1.4 4
20 Bournemouth 1 1 0 0 +4 3
21 Everton 1 1 0 0 +4 3
22 Crystal Palace 1 1 0 0 +3 3
23 Tottenham 2 1 0 1 +2 +1.8 3
24 West Brom 2 1 0 1 +2 3
25 Arsenal 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Coventry 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Liverpool 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Luton 2 1 0 1 +1 -2.7 3
29 Crawley Town 2 1 0 1 +1 3
30 Sunderland 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.2 3
31 Ipswich 2 1 0 1 +0 3
32 Crewe 2 1 0 1 +0 3
33 Cardiff 2 1 0 1 +0 3
34 Plymouth 2 1 0 1 +0 3
35 Blackburn 2 1 0 1 +0 3
36 Cambridge United 2 1 0 1 +0 -1.4 3
37 Leeds 2 1 0 1 -1 +1.5 3
38 Blackpool 2 1 0 1 -1 3
39 Southampton 2 1 0 1 -1 3
40 Leicester 2 1 0 1 -1 3
41 Sheffield Weds 2 1 0 1 -1 3
42 Charlton 2 1 0 1 -2 -1.8 3
43 Stevenage 2 1 0 1 -2 -0.3 3
44 Watford 2 1 0 1 -3 3
45 Birmingham 2 1 0 1 -4 -1.5 3
46 Burnley 2 0 2 0 +0 +0.3 2
47 Tranmere 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Notts County 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Wigan 1 0 1 0 +0 1
50 Huddersfield 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 QPR 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Bromley 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Salford City 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Stockport County 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Newport County 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Hull 2 0 1 1 -1 +0.8 1
57 Rochdale 2 0 1 1 -2 1
58 Doncaster 2 0 1 1 -2 1
59 AFC Wimbledon 2 0 1 1 -3 -3.8 1
60 Preston 2 0 1 1 -4 1
61 Shrewsbury 2 0 1 1 -4 -0.2 1
62 Swindon Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Derby 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Wycombe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Burton Albion 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Accrington ST 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Barnet 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Northampton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Wrexham 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Bolton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Swansea 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Bristol City 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Bristol Rovers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Chesterfield 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Portsmouth 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 Grimsby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Cheltenham 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 Nott'm Forest 1 0 0 1 -2 -1.5 0
79 Oldham 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 Exeter City 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 York 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Oxford 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Colchester 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Milton Keynes Dons 1 0 0 1 -3 0
85 Rotherham 1 0 0 1 -3 0
86 Port Vale 1 0 0 1 -3 0
87 Mansfield Town 1 0 0 1 -3 0
88 Gillingham 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Everton Wolves
10′
🟨 Jackson Tchatchoua
Jack Grealish 🟨
11′
38′
🔁 Adam Armstrong
↦ Raúl Jiménez
45′
🔁 Yacouba Nasser Djiga
↦ Ladislav Krejčí
Half-time 0–0
Brennan Johnson 🔁
↦ Thierno Barry
58′
63′
🔁 Jean-Ricner Bellegarde
↦ Jordan James
74′
🔁 Kieran Trippier
↦ Jackson Tchatchoua
74′
🔁 Bertrand Traoré
↦ Tawanda Chirewa
Tyrique George 🔁
↦ Jack Grealish
77′
Charly Alcaraz 🔁
↦ Hayden Hackney
77′
1–0 Charly Alcaraz
Tyler Dibling
80′
91′
🟨 Thomas Doyle
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Everton

4-2-3-1
1 J. Pickford G
2 A. Maitland-Niles D
15 J. O'Brien D
5 M. Keane D
16 V. Mykolenko D
30 H. Hackney M
37 J. Garner M
20 T. Dibling M
8 K. Dewsbury-Hall M
10 J. Grealish M
11 T. Barry F
Bench (9)
24 C. Alcaraz
4 J. Branthwaite
19 Tyrique George
58 B. Graham
22 B. Johnson
31 T. King
6 J. Tarkowski
12 M. Travers
76 Malik Olayiwola

Coach: D. Moyes

Wolves

4-2-3-1
13 João Virgínia G
38 J. Tchatchoua D
24 Toti Gomes D
37 L. Krejčí D
33 G. Konan D
12 B. Traoré M
8 J. James M
20 T. Doyle M
14 S. Neave M
23 T. Chirewa M
9 R. Jiménez F
Bench (9)
3 Hugo Bueno
34 N. Djiga
36 M. Mane
5 M. Munetsi
26 J. Ruddy
11 B. Traoré
2 K. Trippier
27 J. Bellegarde
10 A. Armstrong

Coach: César Peixoto

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,47
U
4,50
B
6,80
Over/under goals
O1,5
1,20
U1,5 ✓
4,25
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,20
O3,5
2,62
U3,5 ✓
1,44
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,80
BLS nei ✓
1,95

Referee

T Bramall · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.