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2. Bundesliga
Referee: R Hempel
Nurnberg
S S T S T
0–5
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Fortuna Dusseldorf
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,8
5,7
Scored
2,2
3,3
Conceded
1,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 47%
43%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
71%
57%
Both score Ø 72%
79%
64%
Average goals
3,5
3,4
Scored
1,6
2,1
Conceded
1,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

37% Possession 63%
4 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nurnberg 9. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 15 8 7 0 +16 31
2 Hamburg 15 8 4 3 +10 28
3 Holstein Kiel 14 8 2 4 +5 26
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 14 7 3 4 +11 24
5 Greuther Furth 14 7 3 4 +6 24
6 Elversberg 14 7 3 4 +3 24
7 Hannover 14 6 5 3 +11 23
8 Wehen 14 6 3 5 +0 21
9 Nurnberg 14 6 3 5 -3 21
10 Hertha 14 5 3 6 +2 18
11 Kaiserslautern 14 5 3 6 -3 18
12 Paderborn 14 5 3 6 -5 18
13 Magdeburg 14 4 4 6 +0 16
14 Karlsruhe 14 4 4 6 -1 16
15 Schalke 04 15 5 1 9 -6 16
16 Hansa Rostock 14 5 1 8 -6 16
17 Braunschweig 14 2 2 10 -17 8
18 Osnabruck 15 1 4 10 -23 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nurnberg Fortuna Dusseldorf
7′
🟨 Florian Kastenmeier
34′
🟨 Nicolas Gavory
38′
V. Vermeij 0–1
S. Appelkamp
40′
A. Tanaka 0–2
Half-time 0–3
46′
V. Vermeij 0–3
A. Tanaka
A. Loune 🔁
↦ K. Okunuki
46′
M. Møller Dæhli 🔁
↦ C. Uzun
46′
E. Wekesser 🔁
↦ L. Schleimer
46′
Jannes Horn 🟨
55′
56′
V. Vermeij 0–4
57′
🟨 Vincent Vermeij
61′
🔁 J. Niemiec
↦ V. Vermeij
61′
🔁 T. Uchino
↦ N. Gavory
D. Hayashi 🔁
↦ F. Lohkemper
65′
68′
🔁 F. Klaus
↦ D. Jastrzembski
68′
🔁 S. Suso
↦ E. Iyoha
Nathaniel Brown 🟨
70′
E. Valentini 🔁
↦ J. Gyamerah
72′
78′
🔁 T. Oberdorf
↦ J. de Wijs
84′
J. Niemiec 0–5
F. Klaus
Full-time 0–5

Line-ups

Nurnberg

4-2-3-1
26 C. Mathenia G
28 J. Gyamerah D
15 Iván Márquez D
38 J. Horn D
27 N. Brown D
36 L. Schleimer M
6 F. Flick M
14 B. Goller M
42 C. Uzun M
11 K. Okunuki M
7 F. Lohkemper F
Bench (9)
41 A. Loune
10 M. Møller Dæhli
13 E. Wekesser
9 D. Hayashi
22 E. Valentini
3 A. Gürleyen
8 T. Duman
1 C. Klaus
5 J. Geis

Coach: C. Fiél

Fortuna Dusseldorf

4-2-3-1
33 F. Kastenmeier G
19 E. Iyoha D
20 J. Siebert D
30 J. de Wijs D
34 N. Gavory D
4 A. Tanaka M
6 Y. Engelhardt M
23 S. Appelkamp M
8 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson M
27 D. Jastrzembski M
9 V. Vermeij F
Bench (8)
18 J. Niemiec
2 T. Uchino
11 F. Klaus
46 S. Suso
15 T. Oberdorf
7 C. Tzolis
10 D. Ginczek
1 K. Niemczycki

Coach: D. Thioune

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,73
U
3,60
B ✓
2,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,64
U2,5
2,22
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Hempel · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.