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DFB-Pokal
Referee: T Bauer
Hertha
T S S T S
3–0
Full-time
Elversberg
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Elversberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,8
2,8
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+2,0
This season — DFB-Pokal · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
0,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
9 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Hertha 34. · Elversberg 25.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolfsburg 1 1 0 0 +9 3
2 Kaiserslautern 1 1 0 0 +7 3
3 Ein Frankfurt 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Union Berlin 1 1 0 0 +5 3
5 Heidenheim 1 1 0 0 +5 3
6 Karlsruhe 1 1 0 0 +5 3
7 Hoffenheim 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Leverkusen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 RB Leipzig 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Fortuna Dusseldorf 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Magdeburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Paderborn 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Bochum 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Greuther Furth 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Augsburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Holstein Kiel 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Freiburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 M'gladbach 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 FC Koln 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Darmstadt 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Hamburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Bielefeld 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Mainz 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Elversberg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Cottbus 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Schalke 04 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Braunschweig 1 0 1 0 +0 1
30 Stuttgart 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 Illertissen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Nurnberg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Preußen Münster 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Hertha 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Eintracht Norderstedt 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 St Pauli 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Wehen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Atlas Delmenhorst 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Regensburg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 VfB Lubeck 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Pirmasens 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Werder Bremen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Dresden 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Ulm 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Hannover 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Rot-Weiß Essen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Lokomotive Leipzig 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Sandhausen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 FC Schweinfurt 05 1 0 0 1 -2 0
50 FC Saarbrücken 1 0 0 1 -2 0
51 FC Viktoria Koln 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 BFC Dynamo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 BW Lohne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Hallescher FC 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 FC 08 Homburg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Sportfreunde Lotte 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Hansa Rostock 1 0 0 1 -4 0
58 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1 0 0 1 -4 0
59 FV Engers 07 1 0 0 1 -5 0
60 FC Gutersloh 1 0 0 1 -5 0
61 Bahlinger SC 1 0 0 1 -5 0
62 ZFC Meuselwitz 1 0 0 1 -5 0
63 RSV Eintracht 1 0 0 1 -7 0
64 Hemelingen 1 0 0 1 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha Elversberg
1–0 M. Cuisance
D. Demme
15′
40′
🟨 Jan Gyamerah
Half-time 1–0
54′
🔁 L. Petkov
↦ O. Stange
54′
🔁 F. Keidel
↦ J. Gyamerah
2–0 S. Gronning
M. Dardai
58′
63′
🟨 Amara Condé
68′
🟨 Lukas Finn Pinckert
N. Kolbe 🔁
↦ M. Karbownik
71′
P. Seguin 🔁
↦ K. Eichhorn
71′
71′
🔁 J. Malanga
↦ T. Zimmerschied
71′
🔁 L. Schnellbacher
↦ Y. Ebnoutalib
L. Schuler 🔁
↦ S. Gronning
80′
M. Winkler 🔁
↦ M. Krattenmacher
80′
83′
🔁 F. Le Joncour
↦ M. Rohr
J. Thorsteinsson 🔁
↦ D. Demme
86′
3–0 J. Thorsteinsson
90′
93′
🟥 Lukas Finn Pinckert
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Hertha

4-2-3-1
1 T. Ernst G
2 J. Eitschberger D
44 L. Gechter D
31 M. Dardai D
33 M. Karbownik D
6 D. Demme M
23 K. Eichhorn M
14 M. Krattenmacher M
10 M. Cuisance M
11 F. Reese M
17 S. Gronning F
Bench (9)
35 M. Gersbeck
27 N. Kolbe
37 T. Leistner
8 K. Sessa
24 J. Thorsteinsson
28 J. Dudziak
30 P. Seguin
18 L. Schuler
22 M. Winkler

Coach: Stefan Leitl

Elversberg

4-2-3-1
20 N. Kristof G
30 J. Gyamerah D
19 L. Pinckert D
31 M. Rohr D
2 N. Mickelson D
8 L. Poreba M
6 A. Conde M
9 O. Stange M
10 B. Conte M
29 T. Zimmerschied M
22 Y. Ebnoutalib F
Bench (9)
28 T. Boss
3 F. Le Joncour
21 L. Gunther
11 J. Ceka
14 J. Malanga
17 F. Schmahl
25 L. Petkov
43 F. Keidel
24 L. Schnellbacher

Coach: Vincent Wagner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Bauer · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.