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Copa del Rey

Referee: Pablo González

Arenteiro

1–3

Full-time

Ath Madrid

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arenteiro Ath Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

100%

17%

Points per game

3,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

0,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,2

This season — Copa del Rey · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

2,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%

7 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 10

2 Blocked shots 1

7 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 5

4 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Arenteiro 31. · Ath Madrid 30. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	Celta	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	Mallorca	2	2	0	0	+7	6
5	Valladolid	2	2	0	0	+6	6
6	Elche	2	2	0	0	+6	6
7	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	Levante	2	2	0	0	+5	6
9	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	+5	6
10	Sp Gijon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Cacereño	2	2	0	0	+4	6
12	Espanol	2	2	0	0	+4	6
13	Pontevedra	2	2	0	0	+3	6
14	Getafe	2	2	0	0	+3	6
15	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	2	2	0	0	+3	6
16	Intercity	2	2	0	0	+3	6
17	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+3	6
18	Ceuta	2	2	0	0	+2	6
19	Linares Deportivo	2	2	0	0	+2	6
20	Alaves	2	2	0	0	+2	6
21	Albacete	2	1	1	0	+3	4
22	UD Logroñés	2	1	1	0	+2	4
23	Vallecano	2	1	1	0	+2	4
24	Eldense	2	1	1	0	+1	4
25	Cartagena	2	1	1	0	+1	4
26	Saguntino	2	1	1	0	+1	4
27	La Nucía	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
29	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Arenteiro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Andorra	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	Ibiza	2	1	0	1	+1	3
34	Guijuelo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Oviedo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Tenerife	2	1	0	1	+1	3
37	Granada	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Mollerussa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Fuentes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Alcora	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Girona	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Real Unión	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	Mirandes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Sestao River	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Barbadás	2	1	0	1	-1	3
47	Numancia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
48	Velarde	2	1	0	1	-1	3
49	Diocesano	2	1	0	1	-1	3
50	Algar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
51	Cazalegas	2	1	0	1	-2	3
52	Guadalajara	2	1	0	1	-2	3
53	Arenas Getxo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
54	CD Coria	2	1	0	1	-3	3
55	Santa Amalia	2	1	0	1	-8	3
56	Alcorcon	2	0	2	0	+0	2
57	Huesca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Coruxo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Utebo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Dinamo San Juan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Peña Deportiva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Real Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Atlético Baleares	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Ourense CF	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Montilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Recreativo Huelva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Mérida AD	2	0	1	1	-1	1
70	Atlético Paso	2	0	1	1	-1	1
71	Burgos	2	0	1	1	-1	1
72	Arnedo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
73	Juventud Torremolinos	2	0	1	1	-3	1
74	Rincón	2	0	1	1	-3	1
75	Gernika	2	0	1	1	-3	1
76	Autol	2	0	1	1	-6	1
77	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Gimnástica Torrelavega	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Yeclano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Los Yébenes SB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Unión Adarve	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Quintanar del Rey	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Turégano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Ferrol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Lugo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Utrera	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Zaragoza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Alfaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Cirbonero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Santander	1	0	0	1	-1	0
99	Cardassar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
103	Manresa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	Racing Rioja	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	Cristo Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
108	Fuenlabrada	1	0	0	1	-2	0
109	Almazán	1	0	0	1	-2	0
110	Lealtad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
111	Vimenor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
112	San Juan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
113	Almeria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
114	Alzira	1	0	0	1	-2	0
115	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
116	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
117	Amigó	1	0	0	1	-3	0
118	Huétor Tájar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
119	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-3	0
120	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
121	Olot	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cacereño	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Saguntino	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Arenteiro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Intercity	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Guijuelo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Levante	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Pontevedra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Linares Deportivo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Eldense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Mollerussa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Real Unión	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Sestao River	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Barbadás	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Velarde	2	1	0	1	-1	3
17	Diocesano	2	1	0	1	-1	3
18	Algar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
19	Cazalegas	2	1	0	1	-2	3
20	Guadalajara	2	1	0	1	-2	3
21	Arenas Getxo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
22	CD Coria	2	1	0	1	-3	3
23	Santa Amalia	2	1	0	1	-8	3
24	Coruxo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Utebo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Peña Deportiva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Ourense CF	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Alcorcon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Montilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Recreativo Huelva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	UD Logroñés	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Atlético Paso	2	0	1	1	-1	1
33	Arnedo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
34	Juventud Torremolinos	2	0	1	1	-3	1
35	Gernika	2	0	1	1	-3	1
36	Autol	2	0	1	1	-6	1
37	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Gimnástica Torrelavega	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Yeclano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Unión Adarve	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Quintanar del Rey	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Utrera	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Alfaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Cirbonero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Mérida AD	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Manresa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Racing Rioja	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Cristo Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Almazán	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Lealtad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Vimenor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	San Juan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Alzira	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Fuentes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Amigó	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Huétor Tájar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Alcora	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Rincón	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Numancia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Olot	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	Celta	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	Mallorca	2	2	0	0	+7	6
5	Valladolid	2	2	0	0	+6	6
6	Elche	2	2	0	0	+6	6
7	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	+5	6
9	Sp Gijon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	Espanol	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Getafe	2	2	0	0	+3	6
12	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	Alaves	2	2	0	0	+2	6
14	Albacete	2	1	1	0	+3	4
15	Vallecano	2	1	1	0	+2	4
16	Cartagena	2	1	1	0	+1	4
17	Levante	1	1	0	0	+4	3
18	Alcora	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Fuentes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	La Nucía	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	UD Logroñés	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
23	Pontevedra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Numancia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Andorra	2	1	0	1	+1	3
28	Ibiza	2	1	0	1	+1	3
29	Oviedo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Tenerife	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	Granada	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Linares Deportivo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Intercity	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Girona	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	Mirandes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Huesca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Eldense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Mérida AD	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Dinamo San Juan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Real Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Atlético Baleares	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Alcorcon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Rincón	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Burgos	2	0	1	1	-1	1
49	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Los Yébenes SB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Turégano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Ferrol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Lugo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Zaragoza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Santander	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Cardassar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Fuenlabrada	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Almeria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Arenteiro Ath Madrid

18′

🟨 José María Giménez

1–0 Marquitos ⚽

Germán Novoa

42′

Bueso 🟨

45′

Half-time 1–1

46′

⚽ Y. Carrasco 1–1

49′

🟨 Mario Hermoso

56′

🟨 Álvaro Morata

59′

🟨 Thomas Lemar

69′

🔁 Alberto Moreno

↦ Koke

69′

🔁 Reinildo

↦ Hermoso

76′

⚽ Pablo Barrios 1–2

Alberto Moreno

Jordan Sánchez 🔁

↦ A. Pastoriza

77′

Romay 🔁

↦ Germán Novoa

78′

Adrián Cruz 🔁

↦ Marquitos

78′

David Álvarez 🔁

↦ Manin

80′

Rafa Mella 🔁

↦ Curro Rivelott

80′

81′

🔁 G. Kondogbia

↦ T. Lemar

Antón Escobar Tapia 🟨

86′

Adrian Cruz Juncal 🟨

89′

91′

⚽ Y. Carrasco 1–3

Álvaro Morata

Álex Fernández 🟨

94′

Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Arenteiro

4-4-1-1

13 Diego García G

5 Pol Bueso D

17 Joseca D

4 Vitra D

3 Germán Novoa D

8 Álex Fernández M

16 Curro Rivelott M

11 A. Pastoriza M

9 Antón Escobar F

10 Marquitos M

19 Manin F

Bench (10)

22 Jordan Sánchez

20 Romay

14 Adrián Cruz

18 David Álvarez

7 Rafa Mella

15 Samu Santos

6 Álex Conde

2 Mario García

1 Adrià Rojas

26 Damian Bardelas

Coach: Javi Rey

Ath Madrid

3-5-2

J. Oblak G

S. Savić D

J. Giménez D

Hermoso D

A. Witsel M

Koke M

21 Y. Carrasco M

T. Lemar F

Marcos Llorente M

Pablo Barrios M

Álvaro Morata F

Bench (10)

32 Alberto Moreno

23 Reinildo

4 G. Kondogbia

3 Reguilón

36 Marco Moreno

31 Antonio Gomis

26 Diego Bri

30 Sergio Díez

18 Felipe

17 Saúl

Coach: D. Simeone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

13. Nov CDR 3 years ago

Referee

Pablo González · 106 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

5,1 / match

Above average

⚽ Free kicks

29,4 / match

Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Match report

Line-ups

Arenteiro

Ath Madrid

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee