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Copa del Rey

Referee: Francisco Hernández

Oviedo

S S U T S

1–0

Full-time

Granada

T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oviedo Granada

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

1,0

2,2

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

0,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,8

This season — Copa del Rey · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

5,0

Scored

3,0

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

27% Possession 73%

6 Shots 8

1 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 6

0 Offside 2

19 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Oviedo 35. · Granada 37. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	Celta	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	Mallorca	2	2	0	0	+7	6
5	Valladolid	2	2	0	0	+6	6
6	Elche	2	2	0	0	+6	6
7	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	Levante	2	2	0	0	+5	6
9	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	+5	6
10	Sp Gijon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Cacereño	2	2	0	0	+4	6
12	Espanol	2	2	0	0	+4	6
13	Pontevedra	2	2	0	0	+3	6
14	Getafe	2	2	0	0	+3	6
15	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	2	2	0	0	+3	6
16	Intercity	2	2	0	0	+3	6
17	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+3	6
18	Ceuta	2	2	0	0	+2	6
19	Linares Deportivo	2	2	0	0	+2	6
20	Alaves	2	2	0	0	+2	6
21	Albacete	2	1	1	0	+3	4
22	UD Logroñés	2	1	1	0	+2	4
23	Vallecano	2	1	1	0	+2	4
24	Eldense	2	1	1	0	+1	4
25	Cartagena	2	1	1	0	+1	4
26	Saguntino	2	1	1	0	+1	4
27	La Nucía	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
29	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Arenteiro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Andorra	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	Ibiza	2	1	0	1	+1	3
34	Guijuelo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Oviedo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Tenerife	2	1	0	1	+1	3
37	Granada	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Mollerussa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Fuentes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Alcora	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Girona	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Real Unión	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	Mirandes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Sestao River	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Barbadás	2	1	0	1	-1	3
47	Numancia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
48	Velarde	2	1	0	1	-1	3
49	Diocesano	2	1	0	1	-1	3
50	Algar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
51	Cazalegas	2	1	0	1	-2	3
52	Guadalajara	2	1	0	1	-2	3
53	Arenas Getxo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
54	CD Coria	2	1	0	1	-3	3
55	Santa Amalia	2	1	0	1	-8	3
56	Alcorcon	2	0	2	0	+0	2
57	Huesca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Coruxo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Utebo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Dinamo San Juan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Peña Deportiva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Real Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Atlético Baleares	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Ourense CF	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Montilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Recreativo Huelva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Mérida AD	2	0	1	1	-1	1
70	Atlético Paso	2	0	1	1	-1	1
71	Burgos	2	0	1	1	-1	1
72	Arnedo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
73	Juventud Torremolinos	2	0	1	1	-3	1
74	Rincón	2	0	1	1	-3	1
75	Gernika	2	0	1	1	-3	1
76	Autol	2	0	1	1	-6	1
77	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Gimnástica Torrelavega	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Yeclano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Los Yébenes SB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Unión Adarve	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Quintanar del Rey	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Turégano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Ferrol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Lugo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Utrera	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Zaragoza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Alfaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Cirbonero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Santander	1	0	0	1	-1	0
99	Cardassar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
103	Manresa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	Racing Rioja	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	Cristo Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
108	Fuenlabrada	1	0	0	1	-2	0
109	Almazán	1	0	0	1	-2	0
110	Lealtad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
111	Vimenor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
112	San Juan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
113	Almeria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
114	Alzira	1	0	0	1	-2	0
115	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
116	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
117	Amigó	1	0	0	1	-3	0
118	Huétor Tájar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
119	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-3	0
120	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
121	Olot	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cacereño	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Saguntino	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Arenteiro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Intercity	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Guijuelo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Levante	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Pontevedra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Linares Deportivo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Eldense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Mollerussa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Real Unión	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Sestao River	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Barbadás	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Velarde	2	1	0	1	-1	3
17	Diocesano	2	1	0	1	-1	3
18	Algar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
19	Cazalegas	2	1	0	1	-2	3
20	Guadalajara	2	1	0	1	-2	3
21	Arenas Getxo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
22	CD Coria	2	1	0	1	-3	3
23	Santa Amalia	2	1	0	1	-8	3
24	Coruxo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Utebo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Peña Deportiva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Ourense CF	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Alcorcon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Montilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Recreativo Huelva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	UD Logroñés	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Atlético Paso	2	0	1	1	-1	1
33	Arnedo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
34	Juventud Torremolinos	2	0	1	1	-3	1
35	Gernika	2	0	1	1	-3	1
36	Autol	2	0	1	1	-6	1
37	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Gimnástica Torrelavega	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Yeclano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Unión Adarve	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Quintanar del Rey	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Utrera	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Alfaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Cirbonero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Mérida AD	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Manresa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Racing Rioja	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Cristo Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Almazán	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Lealtad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Vimenor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	San Juan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Alzira	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Fuentes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Amigó	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Huétor Tájar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Alcora	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Rincón	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Numancia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Olot	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	Celta	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	Mallorca	2	2	0	0	+7	6
5	Valladolid	2	2	0	0	+6	6
6	Elche	2	2	0	0	+6	6
7	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	+5	6
9	Sp Gijon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	Espanol	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Getafe	2	2	0	0	+3	6
12	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	Alaves	2	2	0	0	+2	6
14	Albacete	2	1	1	0	+3	4
15	Vallecano	2	1	1	0	+2	4
16	Cartagena	2	1	1	0	+1	4
17	Levante	1	1	0	0	+4	3
18	Alcora	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Fuentes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	La Nucía	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	UD Logroñés	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
23	Pontevedra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Numancia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Andorra	2	1	0	1	+1	3
28	Ibiza	2	1	0	1	+1	3
29	Oviedo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Tenerife	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	Granada	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Linares Deportivo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Intercity	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Girona	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	Mirandes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Huesca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Eldense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Mérida AD	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Dinamo San Juan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Real Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Atlético Baleares	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Alcorcon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Rincón	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Burgos	2	0	1	1	-1	1
49	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Los Yébenes SB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Turégano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Ferrol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Lugo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Zaragoza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Santander	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Cardassar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Fuenlabrada	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Almeria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.