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Copa del Rey
Referee: Juan Pulido
Arenteiro
2–0
Full-time
Almeria
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%
9 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 2
3 Offside 5
14 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +9 3
2 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 +6 3
3 Celta 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Levante 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Albacete 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Elche 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Cacereño 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Espanol 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 La Nucía 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Andorra 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 UD Logroñés 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Pontevedra 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Guijuelo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Gimnastic 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Ibiza 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 CD Coria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Mirandes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Numancia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Oviedo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Granada 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Real Unión 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Getafe 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Guadalajara 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Linares Deportivo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Saguntino 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Sestao River 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Arenas Getxo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Ceuta 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Diocesano 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Cartagena 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Intercity 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Las Palmas 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Mollerussa 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 Fuentes 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Alcora 2 1 0 1 +0 3
48 Barbadás 2 1 0 1 -1 3
49 Velarde 2 1 0 1 -1 3
50 Algar 2 1 0 1 -2 3
51 Cazalegas 2 1 0 1 -2 3
52 Santa Amalia 2 1 0 1 -8 3
53 Juventud Torremolinos 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Huesca 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Coruxo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Eldense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Utebo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Mérida AD 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Dinamo San Juan 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Peña Deportiva 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Malaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Atlético Paso 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Real Murcia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Arnedo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Atlético Baleares 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Ourense CF 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Alcorcon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Montilla 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Gernika 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Leganes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
71 Recreativo Huelva 1 0 1 0 +0 1
72 Burgos 1 0 1 0 +0 1
73 Rincón 2 0 1 1 -3 1
74 Autol 2 0 1 1 -6 1
75 Beasain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Gimnástica Torrelavega 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Yeclano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Cadiz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 San Roque Lepe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Universitario FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Atlético Lugones 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Los Yébenes SB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Ponferradina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Unión Adarve 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Quintanar del Rey 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Turégano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Amorebieta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Ferrol 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Lugo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Utrera 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Zaragoza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Alfaro 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Cirbonero 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Lleida Esportiu 1 0 0 1 -1 0
96 Cardassar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
97 Hércules 1 0 0 1 -2 0
98 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Navalcarnero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 Manresa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 Rayo Majadahonda 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 La Coruna 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Racing Rioja 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 Cristo Atlético 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 Fuenlabrada 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 Almazán 1 0 0 1 -2 0
107 Lealtad 1 0 0 1 -2 0
108 Vimenor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
109 San Juan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
110 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -3 0
111 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
112 Amigó 1 0 0 1 -3 0
113 Huétor Tájar 1 0 0 1 -3 0
114 Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -3 0
115 Las Rozas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
116 Olot 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Arenteiro Almeria
1–0 Antón Escobar ⚽
4′
43′
🟨 Samuel Costa
Half-time 1–0
53′
🟨 Chumi
54′
🔁 Gui
↦ Samú Costa
54′
🔁 E. Touré
↦ Lázaro
58′
🟨 Gui
Romay 🔁
↦ A. Pastoriza
71′
Jordan Sánchez 🔁
↦ Manin
71′
72′
🔁 Alejandro Pozo
↦ Arnau Puigmal
Rafa Mella 🔁
↦ Marquitos
75′
2–0 Rafa Mella ⚽
79′
80′
🔁 Adri Embarba
↦ Portillo
80′
🔁 Melero
↦ Dyego Sousa
Adrián Cruz 🔁
↦ Antón Escobar
89′
Samu Santos 🔁
↦ Joseca
89′
90′
🟥 El Bilal Touré
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Arenteiro

4-4-2
13 Diego García G
5 Pol Bueso D
17 Joseca D
4 Vitra D
3 Germán Novoa D
8 Álex Fernández M
16 Curro Rivelott
11 A. Pastoriza M
9 Antón Escobar F
10 Marquitos M
19 Manin
Bench (9)
20 Romay
22 Jordan Sánchez
7 Rafa Mella
14 Adrián Cruz
15 Samu Santos
21 Lamelas
6 Álex Conde
1 Adrià Rojas
2 Mario García

Coach: Fran Justo

Almeria

4-1-4-1
25 Diego Fuoli G
21 Chumi D
20 Álex Centelles D
2 Kaiky D
8 Portillo M
4 Íñigo Eguaras M
18 Arnau Puigmal D
23 Samú Costa M
11 Dyego Sousa F
7 L. Ramazani M
14 Lázaro M
Bench (11)
28 Gui
9 E. Touré
17 Alejandro Pozo
10 Adri Embarba
3 Melero
13 Fernando Martínez
26 M. Šviderský
24 H. Mendes
15 Sergio Akieme
6 César de la Hoz
19 Rodrigo Ely

Coach: Rubi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

Referee

Juan Pulido · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.