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La Liga
Referee: José Sánchez
Espanol
T T S T T
3–1
Full-time
Celta
T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,5
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
2,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 13/14 matches
Win Ø 30%
23%
36%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
62%
71%
Both score Ø 67%
62%
71%
Average goals
2,9
3,3
Scored
0,9
1,6
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,85 xG 1,50
21% Possession 79%
9 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Espanol 19. · Celta 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 15 11 1 3 +27 +15.8 34
2 Real Madrid 13 9 3 1 +17 +12.8 30
3 Ath Madrid 14 8 5 1 +13 +10.4 29
4 Villarreal 13 7 4 2 +4 +6.0 25
5 Mallorca 15 7 3 5 +2 +3.1 24
6 Ath Bilbao 14 6 5 3 +7 +6.4 23
7 Osasuna 14 6 4 4 -3 -5.1 22
8 Girona 14 6 3 5 +2 +6.0 21
9 Betis 14 5 5 4 +0 +3.6 20
10 Sociedad 14 5 3 6 +0 +2.6 18
11 Celta 14 5 3 6 -2 +3.6 18
12 Sevilla 14 5 3 6 -5 -2.8 18
13 Vallecano 13 4 4 5 -1 -0.4 16
14 Las Palmas 15 4 3 8 -6 -14.4 15
15 Leganes 15 3 6 6 -6 -11.9 15
16 Alaves 15 4 2 9 -9 -5.4 14
17 Getafe 14 2 7 5 -1 +1.7 13
18 Valencia 13 2 4 7 -8 -8.6 10
19 Espanol 13 3 1 9 -14 -13.8 10
20 Valladolid 14 2 3 9 -17 -9.7 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Espanol Celta
35′
🟨 Marcos Alonso
1–0 I. Cardona
L. Cabrera
40′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Hugo Álvarez
46′
🔁 W. Swedberg
↦ Hugo Álvarez
46′
🔁 Borja Iglesias
↦ T. Douvikas
2–0 L. Cabrera
53′
Marash Kumbulla 🟨
55′
Rafel Bauzà 🔁
↦ J. Smith
61′
Carlos Romero 🔁
↦ Pol Lozano
67′
W. Cheddira 🔁
↦ I. Cardona
67′
67′
🔁 Hugo Sotelo
↦ Damián Rodríguez
80′
🔁 Javier Manquillo
↦ Marcos Alonso
80′
🔁 Alfon González
↦ I. Moriba
83′
Iago Aspas 2–1
Álvaro Tejero 🔁
↦ Jofre Carreras
84′
Joan García 🟨
86′
3–1 W. Cheddira
Javi Puado
87′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Espanol

4-1-4-1
1 Joan García G
23 O. El Hilali D
4 M. Kumbulla D
6 L. Cabrera D
14 Brian Oliván D
10 Pol Lozano M
17 Jofre Carreras M
40 J. Smith M
20 A. Král M
7 Javi Puado M
24 I. Cardona F
Bench (12)
35 Rafel Bauzà
22 Carlos Romero
16 W. Cheddira
12 Álvaro Tejero
37 N. Ünüvar
3 Sergi Gómez
38 Pol Tristán
8 Edu Expósito
31 Antoniu Roca
9 A. Véliz
33 Ángel Fortuño
18 Álvaro Aguado

Coach: Manolo González

Celta

3-5-1-1
13 Vicente Guaita G
32 Javi Rodríguez D
2 C. Starfelt D
20 Marcos Alonso D
17 J. Bamba M
3 Óscar Mingueza M
25 Damián Rodríguez M
6 I. Moriba M
30 Hugo Álvarez M
10 Iago Aspas F
9 T. Douvikas F
Bench (12)
19 W. Swedberg
7 Borja Iglesias
33 Hugo Sotelo
22 Javier Manquillo
12 Alfon González
18 Pablo Durán
21 M. Ristić
1 Iván Villar
11 F. Cervi
8 Fran Beltrán
24 Carlos Domínguez
23 T. Allende

Coach: Claudio Giráldez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,31
U
3,33
B
2,26
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,02
U2,5
1,82
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

José Sánchez · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.