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Copa del Rey
Referee: M Busquets
0–4
Full-time
Elche
U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Los Garres Elche
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Palma del Rio 2 2 0 0 +10 6
2 Sant Just 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 CD Sant Jordi 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Puerto de Vega 2 1 1 0 +4 4
5 CD Yuncos 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Deportivo Getxo 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Maracena 3 1 1 1 -3 4
8 Inter de Valdemoro 3 1 1 1 -9 4
9 Getafe 1 1 0 0 +11 3
10 Valencia 1 1 0 0 +5 3
11 Granada 1 1 0 0 +4 3
12 Santander 1 1 0 0 +4 3
13 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +4 3
14 CF Talavera 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Huesca 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Albacete 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 Ourense CF 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Cadiz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Extremadura 1924 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Cultural Leonesa 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Guadalajara 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Sabadell 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 SD Negreira 3 1 0 2 +0 3
28 Manises 2 1 0 1 +0 3
29 Los Garres 2 1 0 1 +0 3
30 Textil Escudo 2 1 0 1 -3 3
31 Langreo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Ferrol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Betis Valladolid 2 0 1 1 -1 1
34 Universitario FC 2 0 1 1 -2 1
35 Sporting Ceuta 2 0 1 1 -2 1
36 Campanario 2 0 1 1 -2 1
37 Alberite 2 0 1 1 -4 1
38 Constància 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Cacereño 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Poblense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Atlético Tordesillas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Oviedo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
43 Ucam Murcia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
44 Las Palmas 1 0 0 1 -2 0
45 Tropezón 1 0 0 1 -2 0
46 Rayo Majadahonda 1 0 0 1 -3 0
47 Lourdes 2 0 0 2 -3 0
48 Toledo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
49 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
50 San Fernando CD 1 0 0 1 -3 0
51 Roda 1 0 0 1 -4 0
52 SD Logroñés 1 0 0 1 -4 0
53 RSD Alcalá 1 0 0 1 -4 0
54 Atletico Calatayud 2 0 0 2 -6 0
55 Atlético Melilla 2 0 0 2 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Los Garres Elche
18′
A. Boayar 0–1
A. Pedrosa
P. Serna 🟨
28′
45′
M. Neto 0–2
A. Boayar
45′
R. Mendoza 0–3
Josan
Half-time 0–3
P. Carrillo 🔁
↦ P. Martinez
46′
Douglas 🔁
↦ K. Ribeiro
46′
I. Lopez 🔁
↦ F. Martinez
46′
46′
🔁 P. Bigas
↦ D. Affengruber
46′
🔁 R. Mir
↦ Andre Silva
Canario 🔁
↦ J. Garcia Belluga
58′
58′
🔁 D. Delgado
↦ H. Fort
58′
🔁 Y. Santiago
↦ M. Neto
F. Paredes 🔁
↦ J. Fernandez
67′
72′
🔁 M. Aguado
↦ A. Pedrosa
E. Fugas 🟥
74′
76′
F. Redondo Solari 0–4
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Los Garres

1 D. Navarro
2 E. Varela
15 J. Martinez
12 K. Ribeiro
3 E. Fugas
11 L. Vivancos
21 F. Martinez
14 A. Martinez
8 P. Martinez
7 J. Garcia Belluga
9 J. Fernandez
Bench (11)
26 R. Ayala
13 H. Salinas
5 P. Carrillo
22 A. Perez
17 C. Sanchez
4 P. Vera
19 Douglas
6 S. Hernandez
20 F. Paredes
23 Canario
16 I. Lopez

Coach: Mario Martinez

Elche

1 M. Dituro
39 H. Fort
22 D. Affengruber
21 L. Petrot
3 A. Pedrosa
16 M. Neto
5 F. Redondo Solari
30 R. Mendoza
17 Josan
9 Andre Silva
32 A. Boayar
Bench (11)
45 A. Iturbe
13 I. Pena
6 P. Bigas
31 D. Delgado
8 M. Aguado
14 A. Febas
34 M. Nordin
19 G. Diangana
35 A. Houary
10 R. Mir
7 Y. Santiago

Coach: Eder Sarabia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Busquets · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.