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Copa del Rey
1–1
Full-time
Ibiza
U S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Quintanar del Rey Ibiza
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Palma del Rio 2 2 0 0 +10 6
2 Sant Just 3 2 0 1 +4 6
3 CD Sant Jordi 3 2 0 1 -2 6
4 Puerto de Vega 2 1 1 0 +4 4
5 CD Yuncos 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Deportivo Getxo 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Maracena 3 1 1 1 -3 4
8 Inter de Valdemoro 3 1 1 1 -9 4
9 Getafe 1 1 0 0 +11 3
10 Valencia 1 1 0 0 +5 3
11 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 +5 3
12 Granada 1 1 0 0 +4 3
13 Elche 1 1 0 0 +4 3
14 Santander 1 1 0 0 +4 3
15 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +4 3
16 CF Talavera 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 Numancia 1 1 0 0 +3 3
20 Huesca 1 1 0 0 +3 3
21 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 +3 3
22 Albacete 1 1 0 0 +3 3
23 Ourense CF 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Cadiz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Extremadura 1924 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Cultural Leonesa 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Zaragoza 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 Torrent 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 Almeria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
31 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 +2 3
32 Ceuta 1 1 0 0 +2 3
33 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Navalcarnero 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Guadalajara 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Sabadell 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Sant Andreu 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Portugalete 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Cieza 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Cartagena 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 SD Negreira 3 1 0 2 +0 3
44 Manises 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Textil Escudo 2 1 0 1 -3 3
46 Los Garres 3 1 0 2 -4 3
47 Atlético Astorga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Mirandes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Ebro 1 0 1 0 +0 1
50 Tarazona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 UD Ourense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Pontevedra 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Reddis 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Europa Fc 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Langreo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Ferrol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Betis Valladolid 2 0 1 1 -1 1
58 Universitario FC 2 0 1 1 -2 1
59 Sporting Ceuta 2 0 1 1 -2 1
60 Campanario 2 0 1 1 -2 1
61 Alberite 2 0 1 1 -4 1
62 Constància 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Mérida AD 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Cacereño 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Poblense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Atlético Tordesillas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Valladolid 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Caudal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Puente Genil 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Oviedo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
73 Náxara 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 Ucam Murcia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 Las Palmas 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 Tropezón 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Mutilvera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 Juventud Torremolinos 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 Lorca Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 La Unión Atlético 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Rayo Majadahonda 1 0 0 1 -3 0
82 Azuaga 1 0 0 1 -3 0
83 Lourdes 2 0 0 2 -3 0
84 Toledo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
85 Arenas Getxo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
86 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
87 San Fernando CD 1 0 0 1 -3 0
88 Roda 1 0 0 1 -4 0
89 SD Logroñés 1 0 0 1 -4 0
90 RSD Alcalá 1 0 0 1 -4 0
91 Atletico Calatayud 2 0 0 2 -6 0
92 Atlético Melilla 2 0 0 2 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Quintanar del Rey Ibiza
5′
🟨 F. Castillo
11′
E. Gomez 0–1
1–1 J. Lorente
16′
F. Romero 🟨
27′
31′
🟨 Gonzalez Nacho
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 Bebe
↦ F. Castillo
46′
🔁 Fede
↦ M. Errahaly
46′
🔁 J. Albert
↦ Joao Fersura
47′
🟨 I. Indias
D. Jodar Ruiz 🟨
51′
63′
🔁 Davo
↦ S. Muller
E. Iglesias 🔁
↦ T. Perez
67′
A. Ruiz 🔁
↦ R. Murcia
67′
J. Lorente 🟨
72′
O. Gonpi 🔁
↦ J. Lorente
72′
78′
🔁 A. Gallar
↦ E. Gomez
R. Fita 🔁
↦ Chabo
88′
O. Gonpi 🟨
90′
🟨
103′
O. Olmedilla 🔁
↦ E. Fabra
106′
E. Pamies 🔁
↦ F. Bueno
106′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Quintanar del Rey

13 K. Bartual
5 F. Romero
2 S. Perea
22 F. Navarro
3 D. Jodar Ruiz
7 F. Bueno
21 E. Fabra
18 R. Murcia
10 J. Lorente
11 Chabo
16 T. Perez
Bench (11)
19 E. Iglesias
24 O. Cantarero
4 E. Emanuele
6 O. Olmedilla
1 M. Montesinos
15 E. Pamies
23 O. Gonpi
20 Guti
8 A. Ruiz
26 M. Collado
17 R. Fita

Coach: Pedro Bolanos

Ibiza

13 Belman
2 S. Diez
5 Gonzalez Nacho
18 I. Indias
21 M. Errahaly
23 E. Gomez
6 D. del Pozo
12 D. Garcia
22 Joao Fersura
11 F. Castillo
24 S. Muller
Bench (11)
17 U. Medina
1 R. Juan Ramirez
10 A. Gallar
16 M. Pedreno
7 Bebe
4 E. Monjonell
9 Davo
14 Fede
25 C. Torrelavid
3 J. Albert
8 I. del Olmo

Coach: Miguel Alvarez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.