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Copa del Rey

Referee: A Cordero

Real Ávila

U T S

1–2

Full-time

Vallecano

S U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Ávila Vallecano

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Copa del Rey · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,0

7,0

Scored

1,0

6,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+5,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,68 xG 1,32

24% Possession 76%

18 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 7

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 11

0 Offside 4

15 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Ávila 52. · Vallecano 28. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Getafe	2	2	0	0	+12	6
2	Alaves	2	2	0	0	+10	6
3	Betis	2	2	0	0	+9	6
4	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+7	6
5	Eibar	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Elche	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Huesca	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+5	6
9	Palma del Rio	3	2	0	1	+4	6
10	Cultural Leonesa	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Sant Just	3	2	0	1	+4	6
12	CF Talavera	2	2	0	0	+4	6
13	Ourense CF	2	2	0	0	+3	6
14	Mallorca	2	2	0	0	+3	6
15	Eldense	2	2	0	0	+3	6
16	Sp Gijon	2	2	0	0	+3	6
17	Levante	2	2	0	0	+2	6
18	Guadalajara	2	2	0	0	+2	6
19	CD Sant Jordi	3	2	0	1	-2	6
20	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+6	4
21	Puerto de Vega	3	1	1	1	+2	4
22	Real Murcia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
23	Antoniano	2	1	1	0	+1	4
24	Maracena	3	1	1	1	-3	4
25	CD Yuncos	3	1	1	1	-3	4
26	Deportivo Getxo	3	1	1	1	-6	4
27	Inter de Valdemoro	3	1	1	1	-9	4
28	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
29	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+5	3
30	Granada	1	1	0	0	+4	3
31	La Coruna	1	1	0	0	+4	3
32	Santander	1	1	0	0	+4	3
33	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+4	3
34	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
35	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
36	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+3	3
37	Andorra	2	1	0	1	+2	3
38	Numancia	2	1	0	1	+2	3
39	Ponferradina	1	1	0	0	+2	3
40	Extremadura 1924	1	1	0	0	+2	3
41	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+2	3
42	Atlético Baleares	1	1	0	0	+2	3
43	Celta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
44	Cadiz	2	1	0	1	+1	3
45	Malaga	2	1	0	1	+1	3
46	Almeria	2	1	0	1	+1	3
47	Ceuta	2	1	0	1	+1	3
48	Sabadell	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Sant Andreu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	Real Ávila	1	1	0	0	+1	3
53	Cartagena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
54	SD Negreira	3	1	0	2	+0	3
55	Navalcarnero	2	1	0	1	+0	3
56	Girona	2	1	0	1	+0	3
57	Manises	2	1	0	1	+0	3
58	Cieza	2	1	0	1	+0	3
59	Torrent	2	1	0	1	-1	3
60	Portugalete	2	1	0	1	-2	3
61	Textil Escudo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
62	Los Garres	3	1	0	2	-4	3
63	Antequera	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Ibiza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Atlético Astorga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Tarazona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	UD Ourense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Europa Fc	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Langreo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	Quintanar del Rey	2	0	1	1	-1	1
71	Betis Valladolid	2	0	1	1	-1	1
72	Ebro	2	0	1	1	-2	1
73	Universitario FC	2	0	1	1	-2	1
74	Mirandes	2	0	1	1	-2	1
75	Sporting Ceuta	2	0	1	1	-2	1
76	Reddis	2	0	1	1	-2	1
77	Ferrol	2	0	1	1	-2	1
78	Campanario	2	0	1	1	-2	1
79	Pontevedra	2	0	1	1	-3	1
80	Alberite	2	0	1	1	-4	1
81	Orihuela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Constància	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Mérida AD	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Atlético Tordesillas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Atlètic Lleida	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Castellon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Real Avilés	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Caudal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Puente Genil	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
96	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-2	0
97	UD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-2	0
98	Ucam Murcia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Estepona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	Tropezón	1	0	0	1	-2	0
103	Mutilvera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	Gimnastic	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	La Unión Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
108	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
109	Azuaga	1	0	0	1	-3	0
110	Lourdes	2	0	0	2	-3	0
111	Toledo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
112	Arenas Getxo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
113	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
114	San Fernando CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
115	Valle Egüés	1	0	0	1	-4	0
116	Roda	1	0	0	1	-4	0
117	Sámano	1	0	0	1	-4	0
118	SD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-4	0
119	RSD Alcalá	1	0	0	1	-4	0
120	Atletico Calatayud	2	0	0	2	-6	0
121	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-6	0
122	Atlético Melilla	2	0	0	2	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ourense CF	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Guadalajara	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Real Murcia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Antoniano	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Numancia	2	1	0	1	+2	3
6	Cultural Leonesa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Puerto de Vega	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Extremadura 1924	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Atlético Baleares	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	SD Negreira	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Sant Just	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Eldense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	CF Talavera	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Sant Andreu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Textil Escudo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Real Ávila	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Navalcarnero	2	1	0	1	+0	3
19	Cieza	2	1	0	1	+0	3
20	Palma del Rio	2	1	0	1	-1	3
21	Torrent	2	1	0	1	-1	3
22	Los Garres	2	1	0	1	-2	3
23	Portugalete	2	1	0	1	-2	3
24	CD Yuncos	2	1	0	1	-3	3
25	Maracena	2	1	0	1	-3	3
26	CD Sant Jordi	2	1	0	1	-4	3
27	Atlético Astorga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Alberite	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Sporting Ceuta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	UD Ourense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Langreo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Campanario	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Quintanar del Rey	2	0	1	1	-1	1
34	Ebro	2	0	1	1	-2	1
35	Reddis	2	0	1	1	-2	1
36	Deportivo Getxo	2	0	1	1	-7	1
37	Inter de Valdemoro	2	0	1	1	-11	1
38	Orihuela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Constància	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Betis Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Atlético Tordesillas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Atlètic Lleida	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Caudal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Puente Genil	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	UD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Ucam Murcia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Estepona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Lourdes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Tropezón	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Mutilvera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Mirandes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Ferrol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	La Unión Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Azuaga	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Atletico Calatayud	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Toledo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Pontevedra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	San Fernando CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Valle Egüés	1	0	0	1	-4	0
67	Roda	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	Sámano	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	SD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-4	0
70	RSD Alcalá	1	0	0	1	-4	0
71	Atlético Melilla	1	0	0	1	-5	0
72	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Getafe	2	2	0	0	+12	6
2	Alaves	2	2	0	0	+10	6
3	Betis	2	2	0	0	+9	6
4	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+7	6
5	Eibar	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Elche	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Huesca	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+5	6
9	Mallorca	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	Sp Gijon	2	2	0	0	+3	6
11	Levante	2	2	0	0	+2	6
12	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+6	4
13	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
14	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+5	3
15	Palma del Rio	1	1	0	0	+5	3
16	Granada	1	1	0	0	+4	3
17	La Coruna	1	1	0	0	+4	3
18	Santander	1	1	0	0	+4	3
19	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+4	3
20	CF Talavera	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Sant Just	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
24	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+3	3
25	Andorra	2	1	0	1	+2	3
26	Inter de Valdemoro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Ponferradina	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Eldense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	CD Sant Jordi	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Cultural Leonesa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Celta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Cadiz	2	1	0	1	+1	3
34	Malaga	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Almeria	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Ceuta	2	1	0	1	+1	3
37	Sabadell	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Deportivo Getxo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Cartagena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Girona	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Antequera	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Ibiza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Mirandes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Puerto de Vega	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Maracena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Universitario FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Tarazona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Pontevedra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Europa Fc	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Ferrol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Betis Valladolid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	CD Yuncos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Mérida AD	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	SD Negreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Castellon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Real Avilés	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Lourdes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Gimnastic	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Los Garres	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Manises	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Sporting Ceuta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Campanario	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Arenas Getxo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	Atletico Calatayud	1	0	0	1	-3	0
74	Alberite	1	0	0	1	-4	0
75	Textil Escudo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
76	Atlético Melilla	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.