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Ligue 2
Referee: M Lesage
Bordeaux
S T U U S
1–2
Full-time
Le Havre
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Le Havre
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,5
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
This season — Ligue 2 · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 55%
50%
60%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
40%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
40%
35%
Average goals
2,1
1,9
Scored
1,4
1,5
Conceded
0,7
0,4
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
12 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bordeaux 2. · Le Havre 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 20 12 7 1 +22 43
2 Bordeaux 20 10 6 4 +14 36
3 Sochaux 20 10 3 7 +11 33
4 Metz 20 9 5 6 +9 32
5 Bastia 20 9 4 7 -2 31
6 Amiens 20 8 6 6 +2 30
7 Grenoble 20 8 6 6 +2 30
8 Caen 20 7 8 5 +3 29
9 Quevilly Rouen 20 7 7 6 +1 28
10 Guingamp 20 7 6 7 -2 27
11 Paris FC 20 7 6 7 -4 27
12 Valenciennes 20 6 8 6 -1 26
13 Annecy 20 6 7 7 +1 25
14 Laval 20 7 3 10 -6 24
15 Pau FC 20 5 8 7 -6 23
16 Dijon 20 5 6 9 -4 21
17 St Etienne 20 5 6 9 -6 21
18 Rodez 20 4 7 9 -9 19
19 Nimes 20 5 4 11 -10 19
20 Niort 20 4 5 11 -15 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Dec -22 Le Havre – Bordeaux 1–0

Match report

Bordeaux Le Havre
15′
J. Casimir 0–1
A. Richardson
Tom Lacoux 🟨
36′
Yoann Barbet 🟨
38′
Half-time 0–1
A. Badji 🔁
↦ T. Lacoux
46′
54′
🟨 Christopher Operi
0–2 C. Opéri
own goal
55′
65′
🔁 A. Joujou
↦ A. Richardson
65′
🔁 N. Mbemba
↦ Y. Kitala
70′
🔁 E. Mahmoud
↦ Q. Cornette
A. Pitu 🔁
↦ Z. Davitashvili
75′
77′
O. El Hajjam 0–3
E. Mahmoud
Aliou Badji 🟨
84′
84′
🟨 Arouna Sangante
C. Michelin 🔁
↦ M. Bokele
85′
D. Ignatenko 🔁
↦ J. Mwanga
85′
89′
🔁 C. Diakité
↦ J. Casimir
92′
🟨 Elies Mahmoud
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Bordeaux

4-3-3
16 G. Poussin G
4 M. Bokele D
2 S. Gregersen D
5 Y. Barbet D
14 V. N'Simba D
13 Fransérgio M
27 T. Lacoux M
23 J. Mwanga M
7 D. Bakwa F
11 J. Maja F
30 Z. Davitashvili F
Bench (7)
10 A. Badji
80 A. Pitu
34 C. Michelin
6 D. Ignatenko
31 R. Strączek
22 L. Delaurier-Chaubet
8 I. Sissokho

Coach: D. Guion

Le Havre

4-3-3
30 A. Desmas G
17 O. El Hajjam D
93 A. Sangante D
15 T. Kongolo D
27 C. Opéri D
24 A. Richardson M
22 V. Lekhal M
8 Y. Kechta M
23 J. Casimir F
9 Y. Kitala F
11 Q. Cornette F
Bench (7)
33 A. Joujou
18 N. Mbemba
28 E. Mahmoud
6 C. Diakité
92 E. Kinkoue
1 M. Gorgelin
25 A. Confais

Coach: L. Elsner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,38
U
2,93
B ✓
3,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,47
U2,5
1,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Lesage · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.