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Europa League
Referee: A Sidiropoulos
Juventus
U S S S T
1–0
Full-time
Freiburg
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Freiburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,02 xG 0,04
47% Possession 53%
20 Shots 1
6 Shots on target 0
6 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Juventus Freiburg
L. Bonucci 🔁
↦ Alex Sandro
23′
24′
🟨 Matthias Ginter
Half-time 0–0
N. Fagioli 🔁
↦ F. Miretti
46′
51′
🟨 Lucas Höler
1–0 Á. Di María ⚽
F. Kostić
53′
59′
🔁 R. Dōan
↦ R. Sallai
59′
🔁 Y. Keitel
↦ M. Eggestein
63′
ℹ️ Lucas Höler
VAR: Goal cancelled
F. Chiesa 🔁
↦ D. Vlahović
67′
68′
🔁 M. Gulde
↦ P. Lienhart
Bremer 🟨
72′
M. Kean 🔁
↦ F. Kostić
78′
Leonardo Bonucci 🟨
84′
88′
🔁 M. Gregoritsch
↦ L. Höler
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Juventus

3-5-1-1
1 W. Szczęsny G
6 Danilo D
3 Bremer D
12 Alex Sandro D
11 J. Cuadrado M
20 F. Miretti M
5 M. Locatelli M
25 A. Rabiot M
17 F. Kostić M
22 Á. Di María F
9 D. Vlahović F
Bench (11)
19 L. Bonucci
44 N. Fagioli
7 F. Chiesa
18 M. Kean
30 M. Soulé
23 C. Pinsoglio
15 F. Gatti
24 D. Rugani
45 E. Barrenechea
32 L. Paredes
36 M. Perin

Coach: M. Allegri

Freiburg

3-4-3
26 M. Flekken G
25 K. Sildillia D
28 M. Ginter D
3 P. Lienhart D
17 L. Kübler M
8 M. Eggestein M
27 N. Höfler M
30 C. Günter M
22 R. Sallai F
9 L. Höler F
32 V. Grifo F
Bench (12)
42 R. Dōan
14 Y. Keitel
5 M. Gulde
38 M. Gregoritsch
18 N. Petersen
21 N. Atubolu
35 K. Schmidt
33 N. Weißhaupt
34 M. Röhl
7 J. Schmid
1 B. Uphoff
23 R. Wagner

Coach: C. Streich

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Sidiropoulos · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.