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Serie A

Referee: A Prontera

Juventus

S S S T S

4–2

Full-time

Sampdoria

U U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Sampdoria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,5

1,7

Scored

1,8

0,5

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 34%

60%

Points per game

2,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

36%

Both score Ø 28%

24%

32%

Average goals

2,4

2,0

Scored

1,6

0,4

Conceded

0,8

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

2,84 xG 0,79

56% Possession 44%

24 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 3

8 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

11 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Juventus 2. · Sampdoria 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Napoli	26	22	2	2	+44	+8.1	68
2	Juventus	25	15	5	5	+20	+3.4	50
3	Inter	26	16	2	8	+17	+9.0	50
4	Lazio	26	14	7	5	+22	+2.4	49
5	Milan	25	14	5	6	+10	-1.0	47
6	Roma	26	14	5	7	+10	+1.1	47
7	Atalanta	26	12	6	8	+12	+0.9	42
8	Torino	26	10	7	9	+0	+1.6	37
9	Bologna	26	10	6	10	-3	-0.8	36
10	Udinese	26	8	11	7	+4	-2.1	35
11	Fiorentina	26	9	7	10	+0	+3.7	34
12	Monza	26	9	6	11	-5	-2.4	33
13	Sassuolo	26	9	6	11	-6	+1.6	33
14	Empoli	26	6	10	10	-11	-3.9	28
15	Lecce	26	6	9	11	-7	-0.7	27
16	Salernitana	25	6	7	12	-16	-4.4	25
17	Spezia	25	5	8	12	-19	-6.3	23
18	Verona	25	4	6	15	-17	-2.0	18
19	Cremonese	26	1	9	16	-27	-4.8	12
20	Sampdoria	25	2	6	17	-28	-3.3	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Napoli	13	11	1	1	+24	+3.5	34
2	Inter	13	11	0	2	+21	+3.6	33
3	Juventus	13	9	3	1	+19	+1.9	30
4	Milan	12	9	1	2	+11	+1.5	28
5	Roma	13	8	1	4	+8	-2.3	25
6	Lazio	13	7	3	3	+10	+0.9	24
7	Bologna	14	6	5	3	+7	+1.2	23
8	Torino	12	5	4	3	+3	+3.1	19
9	Fiorentina	13	5	4	4	-1	+3.4	19
10	Atalanta	12	5	3	4	+7	+3.1	18
11	Monza	13	5	3	5	+3	-1.1	18
12	Sassuolo	12	5	2	5	+1	-0.3	17
13	Udinese	12	3	7	2	+5	+2.1	16
14	Empoli	13	4	4	5	-3	-2.7	16
15	Salernitana	13	4	3	6	-1	-4.0	15
16	Spezia	13	3	6	4	-5	-5.2	15
17	Verona	14	4	2	8	-7	-0.5	14
18	Lecce	13	2	6	5	-4	-0.6	12
19	Cremonese	13	1	3	9	-15	-2.4	6
20	Sampdoria	13	0	4	9	-15	-0.3	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Napoli	13	11	1	1	+20	+4.6	34
2	Lazio	13	7	4	2	+12	+1.5	25
3	Atalanta	14	7	3	4	+5	-2.3	24
4	Roma	13	6	4	3	+2	+3.4	22
5	Juventus	12	6	2	4	+1	+1.4	20
6	Udinese	14	5	4	5	-1	-4.2	19
7	Milan	13	5	4	4	-1	-2.4	19
8	Torino	14	5	3	6	-3	-1.6	18
9	Inter	13	5	2	6	-4	+5.4	17
10	Sassuolo	14	4	4	6	-7	+1.9	16
11	Fiorentina	13	4	3	6	+1	+0.3	15
12	Lecce	13	4	3	6	-3	-0.1	15
13	Monza	13	4	3	6	-8	-1.3	15
14	Bologna	12	4	1	7	-10	-2.0	13
15	Empoli	13	2	6	5	-8	-1.2	12
16	Salernitana	12	2	4	6	-15	-0.4	10
17	Sampdoria	12	2	2	8	-13	-3.0	8
18	Spezia	12	2	2	8	-14	-1.1	8
19	Cremonese	13	0	6	7	-12	-2.4	6
20	Verona	11	0	4	7	-10	-1.6	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.