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Serie A

Referee: G Calvarese

Juventus

S U S T S

3–2

Full-time

Inter

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Inter

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,5

2,2

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,5

This season — Serie A · 36/36 matches

Win Ø 67%

58%

75%

Points per game

2,0

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

58%

61%

Both score Ø 61%

61%

Average goals

2,9

3,1

Scored

1,9

2,3

Conceded

1,0

0,9

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

41% Possession 59%

13 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 3

10 Free kicks against 18

5 Yellow cards 5

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Juventus 5. · Inter 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	36	27	7	2	+51	88
2	Atalanta	37	23	9	5	+45	78
3	Milan	36	23	6	7	+31	75
4	Napoli	36	23	4	9	+43	73
5	Juventus	36	21	9	6	+35	72
6	Lazio	35	21	4	10	+10	67
7	Roma	36	17	7	12	+8	58
8	Sassuolo	36	15	11	10	+4	56
9	Sampdoria	36	13	7	16	-6	46
10	Verona	36	11	10	15	-2	43
11	Bologna	36	10	10	16	-11	40
12	Udinese	36	10	10	16	-11	40
13	Fiorentina	36	9	12	15	-10	39
14	Genoa	37	9	12	16	-12	39
15	Spezia	37	9	11	17	-20	38
16	Cagliari	36	9	9	18	-15	36
17	Torino	36	7	14	15	-19	35
18	Benevento	36	7	10	19	-35	31
19	Crotone	36	6	3	27	-47	21
20	Parma	36	3	11	22	-39	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	18	16	1	1	+31	49
2	Juventus	18	13	2	3	+21	41
3	Lazio	18	13	2	3	+13	41
4	Roma	18	12	4	2	+22	40
5	Napoli	18	12	3	3	+30	39
6	Atalanta	18	12	3	3	+27	39
7	Milan	18	8	5	5	+7	29
8	Sampdoria	18	8	3	7	+3	27
9	Bologna	18	7	5	6	+3	26
10	Sassuolo	18	6	8	4	+2	26
11	Fiorentina	18	6	6	6	+2	24
12	Verona	18	6	5	7	+0	23
13	Genoa	19	5	7	7	-1	22
14	Spezia	18	5	6	7	-5	21
15	Udinese	18	5	4	9	-4	19
16	Cagliari	18	5	4	9	-9	19
17	Torino	18	3	8	7	-11	17
18	Crotone	18	5	1	12	-12	16
19	Benevento	18	2	6	10	-20	12
20	Parma	18	2	5	11	-21	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	18	15	1	2	+24	46
2	Inter	18	11	6	1	+20	39
3	Atalanta	19	11	6	2	+18	39
4	Napoli	18	11	1	6	+13	34
5	Juventus	18	8	7	3	+14	31
6	Sassuolo	18	9	3	6	+2	30
7	Lazio	17	8	2	7	-3	26
8	Udinese	18	5	6	7	-7	21
9	Verona	18	5	5	8	-2	20
10	Sampdoria	18	5	4	9	-9	19
11	Benevento	18	5	4	9	-15	19
12	Torino	18	4	6	8	-8	18
13	Roma	18	5	3	10	-14	18
14	Cagliari	18	4	5	9	-6	17
15	Genoa	18	4	5	9	-11	17
16	Spezia	19	4	5	10	-15	17
17	Fiorentina	18	3	6	9	-12	15
18	Bologna	18	3	5	10	-14	14
19	Parma	18	1	6	11	-18	9
20	Crotone	18	1	2	15	-35	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.