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Coppa Italia
Referee: L Massimi
1–1
Full-time
Verona
T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Audace Cerignola Verona
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
100%
17%
Points per game
3,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
0%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,0
1,8
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
0,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Virtus Entella 2 1 1 0 +4 4
2 Venezia 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Genoa 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Como 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Parma 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Milan 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Lecce 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Sassuolo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Frosinone 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Audace Cerignola 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Vicenza 2 1 0 1 -1 3
12 Pescara 2 1 0 1 -1 3
13 Cagliari 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Empoli 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Reggiana 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Cremonese 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Palermo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
18 Cesena 1 0 1 0 +0 1
19 Pisa 1 0 1 0 +0 1
20 Catanzaro 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Monza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Rimini 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Avellino 1 0 0 1 -1 0
24 Sudtirol 1 0 0 1 -2 0
25 Bari 1 0 0 1 -2 0
26 Juve Stabia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
27 Padova 1 0 0 1 -2 0
28 Mantova 1 0 0 1 -4 0
29 Ternana 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Audace Cerignola Verona
9′
🔁 D. Bradaric
↦ N. Valentini
L. Cuppone 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–1
55′
D. Bradaric 0–1
C. Niasse
M. Emmausso 🟨
62′
63′
🔁 A. Sarr
↦ D. Mosquera
63′
🔁 D. Livramento
↦ C. Niasse
Z. Ruggiero 🔁
↦ G. Coccia
67′
A. Faggioli 🔁
↦ M. Emmausso
67′
75′
🟨 S. Serdar
Miguel Angel 🔁
↦ O. Moreso
78′
Miguel Angel 🟨
80′
80′
🔁 J. Santiago Perez
↦ Giovane
80′
🔁 G. Kastanos
↦ A. Bernede
R. Spaltro 🔁
↦ L. D'Orazio
84′
87′
🟨 M. Frese
1–1 Miguel Angel
A. Ligi
90′
Z. Ruggiero 🟨
97′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Audace Cerignola

1 S. Greco
6 S. Visentin
45 M. Cocorocchio
15 A. Ligi
33 L. D'Orazio
77 G. Coccia
58 C. Cretella
24 O. Moreso
3 L. Russo
90 M. Emmausso
29 L. Cuppone
Bench (11)
12 A. Rizzuto
22 G. Fares
19 G. Giuliodori
25 R. Spaltro
27 G. Ingrosso
99 C. Parlato
20 Miguel Angel
83 Z. Ruggiero
9 A. Sabbatani
17 E. Ballabile
18 A. Faggioli

Coach: Vincenzo Maiuri

Verona

1 L. Montipo
5 U. Nunez
2 D. Oyegoke
6 N. Valentini
70 F. Cham
36 C. Niasse
24 A. Bernede
8 S. Serdar
3 M. Frese
17 Giovane
25 D. Mosquera
Bench (14)
34 S. Perilli
98 F. Magro
12 D. Bradaric
19 T. Slotsager
22 A. Kurti
4 J. Santiago Perez
18 Charlys
20 G. Kastanos
21 A. Harroui
9 A. Sarr
14 D. Livramento
39 M. Lambourde
72 J. Ajayi
80 S. Mitrovic

Coach: Paolo Sammarco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Massimi · 76 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.