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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: Johan William Grundt
Stabaek
T U T T S
1–2
Full-time
Sogndal
T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stabaek Sogndal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 31%
17%
44%
Points per game
0,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
61%
67%
Both score Ø 73%
67%
78%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Stabaek 14. · Sogndal 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 19 14 5 0 +35 47
2 Start 19 11 4 4 +16 37
3 Aalesund 17 7 8 2 +6 29
4 Sogndal 18 8 4 6 +4 28
5 Lyn 18 8 3 7 +8 27
6 Egersund 17 8 3 6 +0 27
7 Kongsvinger 17 6 6 5 +5 24
8 Ranheim 17 7 3 7 -3 24
9 Raufoss 18 5 8 5 +1 23
10 Odd 19 6 5 8 -2 23
11 hodd 19 6 5 8 -8 23
12 Moss 19 6 4 9 -10 22
13 Asane 18 5 5 8 -7 20
14 Stabaek 18 3 6 9 -11 15
15 Mjondalen 18 3 5 10 -21 14
16 Skeid 19 1 8 10 -13 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stabaek Sogndal
27′
S. Pedersen 0–1
V. Hagen
Half-time 0–1
R. E. Vinge 🔁
↦ W. Wendt
46′
1–1 J. Nysveen
B. Diabate
54′
56′
🔁 M. Oren
↦ V. Hagen
M. Lankhof-Dahlby 🔁
↦ K. Opseth
57′
E. Danso 🟨
62′
M. Hellan 🔁
↦ J. Nysveen
66′
S. Olderheim 🔁
↦ A. Bawa
83′
O. Veum 🔁
↦ M. Nielsen
84′
87′
S. Pedersen 1–2
D. Bras
89′
🔁 T. Pippola
↦ S. Pedersen
93′
🔁 K. Steinset
↦ J. Flaten
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Stabaek

24 M. Sjoeng
20 A. Andresen
4 N. Naess
14 M. Nielsen
2 K. Pedersen
23 W. Wendt
27 E. Danso
18 A. Bawa
22 K. Opseth
9 B. Diabate
26 J. Nysveen
Bench (9)
41 K. Lokkevik
7 R. E. Vinge
8 M. Lankhof-Dahlby
10 H. Geelmuyden
13 M. Hellan
15 O. Veum
17 S. Olderheim
29 K. Ekorness
30 F. Ellegaard

Coach: Mikael Lennart Tage Stahre

Sogndal

1 L. Jendal
17 M. Sjolstad
2 D. Bras
33 S. A. Granheim
13 P. Flo
18 V. Hagen
10 K. Skaanes
16 L. Vapne
8 J. Flaten
9 O. Hintsa
7 S. Pedersen
Bench (6)
21 D. Saetren
19 T. Pippola
20 P. Asp
29 K. Steinset
32 M. Oren
34 K. Kongelf

Coach: Luís Berkemeier Pimenta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.