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La Liga
Referee: Pablo González
Valencia
T U S T S
0–1
Full-time
Cadiz
S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Cadiz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,8
This season — La Liga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 23%
33%
13%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
60%
47%
Both score Ø 50%
60%
40%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,1
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

74% Possession 26%
11 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
13 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 21
5 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valencia 10. · Cadiz 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 15 12 2 1 +28 38
2 Real Madrid 15 12 2 1 +21 38
3 Sociedad 15 9 2 4 +4 29
4 Ath Madrid 15 8 3 4 +9 27
5 Ath Bilbao 15 7 4 4 +10 25
6 Betis 15 7 4 4 +5 25
7 Villarreal 15 7 3 5 +6 24
8 Vallecano 15 6 5 4 +4 23
9 Osasuna 15 7 2 6 +0 23
10 Valencia 15 5 4 6 +6 19
11 Mallorca 15 5 4 6 -2 19
12 Girona 15 4 5 6 -2 17
13 Almeria 15 5 2 8 -6 17
14 Getafe 15 4 5 6 -6 17
15 Valladolid 15 5 2 8 -10 17
16 Celta 16 4 4 8 -11 16
17 Espanol 15 2 7 6 -6 13
18 Sevilla 15 2 6 7 -9 12
19 Cadiz 15 2 6 7 -17 12
20 Elche 16 0 4 12 -24 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valencia Cadiz
9′
Rubén Alcaraz 0–1
Rubén Sobrino
20′
🟨 Rubén Sobrino
Edinson Cavani 🟨
34′
34′
🟨 Fali
Half-time 0–1
André Almeida 🔁
↦ Hugo Guillamón
46′
J. Kluivert 🔁
↦ Ilaix Moriba
46′
Justin Kluivert 🟨
52′
56′
🟨 Brian Ocampo
Hugo Duro 🔁
↦ Samu Castillejo
56′
60′
🟨 Luis Hernández
José Luis Gayà 🟨
62′
Hugo Duro 🟨
65′
65′
🟨 Isaac Carcelén
66′
🔁 Raúl Parra
↦ Iza Carcelén
71′
🔁 Iván Alejo
↦ Fede San Emeterio
71′
🔁 José Mari
↦ B. Ocampo
78′
🟨 Iván Alejo
Yunus Musah 🟨
81′
D. Foulquier 🔁
↦ Thierry Correia
82′
84′
🔁 Y. Diarra
↦ José Mari
84′
🔁 S. Arzamendia
↦ Rubén Sobrino
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Valencia

4-3-3
25 G. Mamardashvili G
2 Thierry Correia D
24 E. Cömert D
12 M. Diakhaby D
14 José Gayà D
4 Y. Musah M
6 Hugo Guillamón M
8 Ilaix Moriba M
11 Samu Castillejo F
7 E. Cavani F
16 Samuel Lino F
Bench (12)
18 André Almeida
9 J. Kluivert
19 Hugo Duro
20 D. Foulquier
13 Cristian Rivero
15 C. Özkacar
29 Fran Pérez
5 Gabriel Paulista
3 Toni Lato
21 Jesús Vázquez
33 Cristhian Mosquera
1 Iago Herrerín

Coach: G. Gattuso

Cadiz

4-2-3-1
1 J. Ledesma G
20 Iza Carcelén D
23 Luis Hernández D
3 Fali D
22 A. Espino D
24 Fede San Emeterio M
4 Rubén Alcaraz M
7 Rubén Sobrino M
8 Álex Fernández M
14 B. Ocampo M
9 A. Lozano F
Bench (10)
2 Raúl Parra
11 Iván Alejo
6 José Mari
12 Y. Diarra
21 S. Arzamendia
10 T. Bongonda
18 Álvaro Negredo
30 Carlos García-Die
26 Victor Aznar
19 Álvaro Giménez

Coach: Sergio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,59
U
4,08
B ✓
5,94
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,90
U2,5 ✓
1,93
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Pablo González · 106 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.