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LaLiga2

Referee: Dámaso Arcediano

Leganes

S U U U S

1–0

Full-time

Lugo

U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Lugo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,3

1,7

Scored

1,3

0,5

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

This season — LaLiga2 · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 31%

38%

24%

Points per game

1,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

48%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

52%

48%

Average goals

2,0

2,1

Scored

1,0

0,9

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%

11 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 1

3 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leganes 9. · Lugo 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Las Palmas	21	10	8	3	+12	38
2	Levante	22	9	10	3	+9	37
3	Eibar	21	10	7	4	+7	37
4	Burgos	21	9	8	4	+8	35
5	Alaves	21	9	7	5	+2	34
6	Granada	21	9	5	7	+9	32
7	Albacete	21	8	8	5	+2	32
8	Cartagena	21	9	5	7	+2	32
9	Leganes	21	8	6	7	+2	30
10	Andorra	21	8	5	8	+5	29
11	Sp Gijon	22	6	10	6	+0	28
12	Huesca	21	7	7	7	-1	28
13	Villarreal B	22	7	7	8	-3	28
14	Oviedo	21	7	6	8	-2	27
15	Mirandes	21	6	8	7	-2	26
16	Zaragoza	21	6	7	8	-1	25
17	Tenerife	21	6	7	8	-2	25
18	Ponferradina	22	6	6	10	-8	24
19	Santander	21	5	6	10	-4	21
20	Lugo	21	5	6	10	-8	21
21	Malaga	21	4	7	10	-9	19
22	Ibiza	21	4	4	13	-18	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Granada	10	8	2	0	+19	26
2	Eibar	10	7	3	0	+10	24
3	Huesca	10	6	3	1	+7	21
4	Alaves	10	6	3	1	+6	21
5	Leganes	11	6	3	2	+4	21
6	Villarreal B	11	5	5	1	+7	20
7	Burgos	11	5	4	2	+6	19
8	Levante	11	5	4	2	+6	19
9	Tenerife	11	5	4	2	+5	19
10	Mirandes	11	5	4	2	+4	19
11	Las Palmas	10	5	3	2	+5	18
12	Sp Gijon	11	4	5	2	+5	17
13	Albacete	11	4	5	2	+5	17
14	Cartagena	11	5	2	4	+0	17
15	Oviedo	11	5	2	4	+0	17
16	Andorra	10	5	1	4	+8	16
17	Zaragoza	10	4	4	2	+3	16
18	Ponferradina	11	4	3	4	-1	15
19	Lugo	11	3	4	4	+0	13
20	Malaga	10	3	4	3	-3	13
21	Ibiza	11	3	3	5	-4	12
22	Santander	10	1	4	5	-5	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Las Palmas	11	5	5	1	+7	20
2	Levante	11	4	6	1	+3	18
3	Burgos	10	4	4	2	+2	16
4	Cartagena	10	4	3	3	+2	15
5	Albacete	10	4	3	3	-3	15
6	Santander	11	4	2	5	+1	14
7	Eibar	11	3	4	4	-3	13
8	Andorra	11	3	4	4	-3	13
9	Alaves	11	3	4	4	-4	13
10	Sp Gijon	11	2	5	4	-5	11
11	Oviedo	10	2	4	4	-2	10
12	Leganes	10	2	3	5	-2	9
13	Zaragoza	11	2	3	6	-4	9
14	Ponferradina	11	2	3	6	-7	9
15	Lugo	10	2	2	6	-8	8
16	Villarreal B	11	2	2	7	-10	8
17	Mirandes	10	1	4	5	-6	7
18	Huesca	11	1	4	6	-8	7
19	Malaga	11	1	3	7	-6	6
20	Tenerife	10	1	3	6	-7	6
21	Granada	11	1	3	7	-10	6
22	Ibiza	10	1	1	8	-14	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.