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Pro League
Referee: K Van Damme
Standard
S T S T T
1–1
Full-time
St Truiden
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,2
This season — Pro League · 14/19 matches
Win Ø 46%
50%
42%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
50%
47%
Both score Ø 36%
29%
42%
Average goals
2,6
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%
6 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
9 Corners 2
5 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Standard 13. · St Truiden 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 16 14 1 1 +31 43
2 St. Gilloise 16 13 2 1 +20 41
3 Antwerp 16 11 2 3 +14 35
4 Club Brugge 16 10 2 4 +15 32
5 Gent 15 9 2 4 +15 29
6 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 19 8 5 6 +9 29
7 St Truiden 19 8 5 6 +1 29
8 Anderlecht 18 8 2 8 +8 26
9 Cercle Brugge 16 7 5 4 +4 26
10 Westerlo 16 6 4 6 +1 22
11 Charleroi 18 7 1 10 -7 22
12 Eupen 20 7 1 12 -14 22
13 Standard 14 7 0 7 +0 21
14 Mechelen 18 5 4 9 -7 19
15 Kortrijk 19 5 3 11 -17 18
16 Oostende 19 5 3 11 -20 18
17 Waregem 19 4 4 11 -17 16
18 Seraing 18 3 2 13 -18 11
19 Seraing United 18 3 2 13 -18 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Standard St Truiden
Half-time 0–0
58′
🔁 O. Dumont
↦ M. Smets
61′
D. Hayashi 0–1
G. Bruno
62′
ℹ️ Daichi Hayashi
VAR: Goal confirmed
J. Laursen 🔁
↦ O. Davida
66′
M. Fossey 🔁
↦ F. Melegoni
66′
G. Cimirot 🔁
↦ N. Dussenne
67′
75′
🔁 R. Bauer
↦ E. Bocat
80′
🟨 Ameen Al-Dakhil
N. Ohio 🔁
↦ A. Dønnum
81′
C. Çanak 🔁
↦ S. Alzate
81′
82′
🟨 Olivier Dumont
88′
🔁 F. Kaya
↦ G. Bruno
1–1 S. Perica
C. Çanak
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Standard

3-4-3
16 A. Bodart G
6 N. Dussenne D
20 M. Bokadi D
34 K. Laifis D
21 F. Melegoni M
22 W. Balikwisha M
14 S. Alzate M
11 A. Dønnum M
17 O. Davida F
28 S. Perica F
77 P. Zinckernagel F
Bench (7)
38 J. Laursen
13 M. Fossey
8 G. Cimirot
10 N. Ohio
61 C. Çanak
51 L. Noubi
30 L. Henkinet

Coach: R. Deila

St Truiden

3-4-1-2
21 D. Schmidt G
22 W. Janssens D
37 T. Leistner D
3 A. Al-Dakhil D
4 D. Hashioka M
16 M. Smets M
27 F. Boya M
77 E. Bocat M
30 S. Okazaki F
91 G. Bruno F
8 D. Hayashi F
Bench (7)
14 O. Dumont
20 R. Bauer
11 F. Kaya
26 Jorge Teixeira
7 A. Koita
12 J. Coppens
19 S. Van Dessel

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,37
U ✓
3,17
B
3,09
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,27
U2,5 ✓
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Van Damme · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.