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LaLiga2

Referee: Rafael Sánchez

Ponferradina

T T U S T

2–1

Full-time

Villarreal B

T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ponferradina Villarreal B

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

1,7

1,5

Scored

0,7

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

This season — LaLiga2 · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 29%

24%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

52%

48%

Both score Ø 50%

57%

43%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%

15 Shots 5

6 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Ponferradina 20. · Villarreal B 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Las Palmas	21	10	8	3	+12	38
2	Eibar	21	10	7	4	+7	37
3	Levante	21	9	9	3	+9	36
4	Burgos	21	9	8	4	+8	35
5	Alaves	21	9	7	5	+2	34
6	Granada	21	9	5	7	+9	32
7	Albacete	21	8	8	5	+2	32
8	Cartagena	21	9	5	7	+2	32
9	Leganes	21	8	6	7	+2	30
10	Andorra	21	8	5	8	+5	29
11	Huesca	21	7	7	7	-1	28
12	Villarreal B	21	7	7	7	-2	28
13	Sp Gijon	21	6	9	6	+0	27
14	Oviedo	21	7	6	8	-2	27
15	Mirandes	21	6	8	7	-2	26
16	Zaragoza	21	6	7	8	-1	25
17	Tenerife	21	6	7	8	-2	25
18	Santander	21	5	6	10	-4	21
19	Lugo	21	5	6	10	-8	21
20	Ponferradina	21	5	6	10	-9	21
21	Malaga	21	4	7	10	-9	19
22	Ibiza	21	4	4	13	-18	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Granada	10	8	2	0	+19	26
2	Eibar	10	7	3	0	+10	24
3	Huesca	10	6	3	1	+7	21
4	Alaves	10	6	3	1	+6	21
5	Leganes	11	6	3	2	+4	21
6	Villarreal B	11	5	5	1	+7	20
7	Burgos	11	5	4	2	+6	19
8	Levante	11	5	4	2	+6	19
9	Tenerife	11	5	4	2	+5	19
10	Mirandes	11	5	4	2	+4	19
11	Las Palmas	10	5	3	2	+5	18
12	Albacete	11	4	5	2	+5	17
13	Cartagena	11	5	2	4	+0	17
14	Oviedo	11	5	2	4	+0	17
15	Andorra	10	5	1	4	+8	16
16	Sp Gijon	10	4	4	2	+5	16
17	Zaragoza	10	4	4	2	+3	16
18	Lugo	11	3	4	4	+0	13
19	Malaga	10	3	4	3	-3	13
20	Ponferradina	10	3	3	4	-2	12
21	Ibiza	11	3	3	5	-4	12
22	Santander	10	1	4	5	-5	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Las Palmas	11	5	5	1	+7	20
2	Levante	10	4	5	1	+3	17
3	Burgos	10	4	4	2	+2	16
4	Cartagena	10	4	3	3	+2	15
5	Albacete	10	4	3	3	-3	15
6	Santander	11	4	2	5	+1	14
7	Eibar	11	3	4	4	-3	13
8	Andorra	11	3	4	4	-3	13
9	Alaves	11	3	4	4	-4	13
10	Sp Gijon	11	2	5	4	-5	11
11	Oviedo	10	2	4	4	-2	10
12	Leganes	10	2	3	5	-2	9
13	Zaragoza	11	2	3	6	-4	9
14	Ponferradina	11	2	3	6	-7	9
15	Lugo	10	2	2	6	-8	8
16	Villarreal B	10	2	2	6	-9	8
17	Mirandes	10	1	4	5	-6	7
18	Huesca	11	1	4	6	-8	7
19	Malaga	11	1	3	7	-6	6
20	Tenerife	10	1	3	6	-7	6
21	Granada	11	1	3	7	-10	6
22	Ibiza	10	1	1	8	-14	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.