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Super League
Referee: L Fähndrich
Basel
S T T U U
0–0
Full-time
Zurich
U T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Zurich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,7
This season — Super League · 10/11 matches
Win Ø 15%
30%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
40%
45%
Both score Ø 53%
60%
45%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,5
0,6
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

75% Possession 25%
14 Shots 3
3 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 1
4 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Basel 7. · Zurich 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 12 8 3 1 +21 27
2 Servette 11 5 4 2 +3 19
3 Sion 12 5 3 4 +0 18
4 St. Gallen 12 5 2 5 +4 17
5 Lugano 12 5 1 6 -2 16
6 Grasshoppers 11 3 5 3 -2 14
7 Basel 10 3 4 3 +3 13
8 Luzern 11 3 4 4 +1 13
9 Winterthur 12 3 3 6 -15 12
10 Zurich 11 0 5 6 -13 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Basel Zurich
12′
ℹ️ Ivan Santini
VAR: Card upgrade
13′
🟥 Ivan Santini
21′
🔁 C. Condé
↦ M. Hornschuh
Half-time 0–0
A. Diouf 🔁
↦ B. Fink
46′
50′
🟨 Nikola Boranijašević
Dan Ndoye 🟨
57′
F. Frei 🔁
↦ T. Xhaka
62′
M. Lang 🔁
↦ A. Pelmard
62′
S. Ltaief 🔁
↦ D. Ndoye
62′
64′
🔁 F. Rohner
↦ B. Krasniqi
67′
🟨 Lindrit Kamberi
73′
🔁 A. Tosin
↦ A. Marchesano
74′
🔁 B. Omeragić
↦ O. Selnæs
A. Zeqiri 🔁
↦ Z. Amdouni
75′
83′
🟨 Cheick Oumar Conde
Andi Zeqiri 🟨
93′
93′
🟨 Nikola Katić
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Basel

4-2-3-1
1 M. Hitz G
21 A. Pelmard D
4 Arnau Comas D
15 K. Nuhu D
33 R. Calafiori D
34 T. Xhaka M
23 W. Burger M
27 D. Ndoye M
9 Z. Amdouni M
7 L. Millar M
14 B. Fink F
Bench (9)
8 A. Diouf
20 F. Frei
5 M. Lang
42 S. Ltaief
17 A. Zeqiri
30 A. Kade
10 J. Augustin
13 M. Salvi
3 N. Katterbach

Coach: A. Frei

Zurich

3-4-2-1
25 Y. Brecher G
2 L. Kamberi D
24 N. Katić D
28 K. Mets D
19 N. Boranijašević M
8 O. Selnæs M
16 M. Hornschuh M
3 Adrián Guerrero M
7 B. Krasniqi F
10 A. Marchesano F
9 I. Santini F
Bench (9)
17 C. Condé
23 F. Rohner
15 A. Tosin
4 B. Omeragić
11 J. Okita
20 B. Viunnyk
18 D. Avdijaj
6 F. Aliti
1 Ž. Kostadinović

Coach: B. Henriksen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Fähndrich · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.